Welcome to Same Game Parlay Strategy Guide Playbook. For each game, we've built a solid base parlay to get us started, followed by a spicier, compounding angle using alternate lines for a deeper long-shot payout.
Stephen Curry and Kevin Durant won two championships and a gold medal together as teammates. Tonight, Curry's Warriors will take on Durant's Rockets tonight, but first we will begin in New Orleans.
Let's get into my NBA parlay picks and SGP predictions for Wednesday, November 11.
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NBA Parlay Picks for Nets vs. Pelicans
The Angle: Young Guards Shine in New Orleans
Jeremiah Fears Over 21.5 Points + Assists
Jeremiah Fears has taken a mini leap in his sophomore season, up a point (15.4), rebound (4.5), and assist (4.9) from his rookie season. That is despite questionable roster construction in New Orleans still, but injuries have cleared out some minutes.
The Pelicans were without Zion Williamson and Trey Murphy III on Monday and were run out of the Chase Center in a 138-87 loss to the Warriors.
Fears did not shoot well but still finished with 11 points and eight assists. However, due to the blowout, he didn't play the fourth quarter and finished just under this line.
Over his last seven games, Fears is averaging 19.1 points and 6.8 assists per game. In that span, he has had 20 points four times and seven assists four times.
The Nets might make scoring difficult for him, as they allow the fourth-fewest points to point guards, but that is why I am adding the assists.
Additionally, Fears likely watched and is happy about his brother, Jeremy, beating No. 2 Duke last night with 18 points and 11 assists. However, being the competitor that he is, he may want to top his brother with his own double-double.
Fears had 22 points and 13 assists against the Kings and is +1200 for a double-double tonight.
Pick: Jeremiah Fears Over 21.5 Points + Assists
Nolan Traore Over 11.5 Points
On a team with five first-round picks in the same draft class, it can be difficult to stand out, particularly with several at the same position. Nolan Traore did very little to stand out last season, posting 38/32/79 shooting splits and averaging 8.9 points.
This season, Traore has gotten off to a hot start, shooting 51.6% from the field and 46.2% from three.
He has averaged 12.9 points per game this season, but 15.3 over his last eight games. He has scored 14 points in seven of his last eight games. He has also made two 3s in five straight and six of his last eight games.
The Pelicans are 29th in points and 28th in 3s allowed to point guards as well.
Pick: Nolan Traore Over 11.5 Points
Michael Porter Jr. 20+ Points
Michael Porter Jr. averaged 24.5 points per game in his first season with the Nets and is at 21.5 points per game this season. However, maybe he had some bad gumbo one night because he appears to have something personal against New Orleans.
Over his last nine games against the Pelicans, Porter is averaging 24.7 points per game, scoring 20 points in seven of them. However, focusing on the last four games, he has scored 36, 39, 35, and 20 against them. The latter two matchups were as a Net.
Positionally, his matchup is not as strong as Traore's because the Pelicans have defended small forwards well. However, MPJ in particular has torched them, and the volume will be there for him.
He has a 26.4% usage rate and is averaging 15.5 field goal attempts per game, including 9.4 3-point attempts per game this season. That volume should help him get 20-25 points tonight.
Pick: Michael Porter Jr. 20+ Points
If you want more picks for this game, read our full Nets vs Pelicans betting preview!
Same Game Parlay Building Blocks (+350, DraftKings)
Compounding Angle (+1300, DraftKings)
NBA Parlay Picks for Warriors vs. Rockets
The Angle: All-Stars & Former Teammates Battle in Houston
Stephen Curry 25+ Points
Another byproduct of the Warriors' blowout win on Monday was Curry going under his points line. He did not play the fourth quarter and finished with 25 points. Tonight's line is lower because he is facing the Rockets' ninth-ranked defense, as opposed to New Orleans, which is 26th in defensive rating.
Curry has scored 25 points in each of his six games and is averaging 34 points per game over that span. He is averaging 30.6 points per game this season and is +189 for 30 points tonight.
The Rockets will likely have Amen Thompson use his speed to chase Curry around screens and also added Marcus Smart as well.
Despite the Rockets' typically strong defense of late, Curry is averaging 23 points over his last 15 games against them. He has scored 29 points in six of those games, including in his first game back from injury in April.
Pick: Stephen Curry 25+ Points
Kevin Durant 20+ Points
If you have looked at the NBA scoring leaders lately and did not see Kevin Durant, it was not a typo. Durant is averaging just 21 points per game to begin this season. While he is under 50% from the field (49.6%), the bigger issue is that he is taking only 12.8 field-goal attempts per game.
The Rockets have not needed Durant to be overly aggressive because of their scoring depth. However, he has scored 20 points in eight of his first 11 games and reached 25 twice against the Mavericks.
Durant is also averaging 24.9 points over his last eight games against the Warriors. He has scored 20 points in six of his last seven games against them and gotten to 30 three times as well. The Warriors are also 22nd in points allowed to power forwards, and Durant will have a height advantage in all of his matchups tonight.
Pick: Kevin Durant 20+ Points
If you want more picks for this game, read our full Warriors vs Rockets betting preview!
Alperen Sengun 35+ Points, Rebounds, and Assists
Durant will not be the only Rocket using his size, as Alperen Sengun will be the tallest starter on the floor.
The Warriors have done a job of limiting centers, as they are allowing the eighth-fewest points to centers. However, Sengun has given them problems over the past couple of years.
Over his last 17 games against the Warriors, he is averaging 19.8 points, 10.4 rebounds, and 5.4 assists per game. In that span, he has had 10 double-doubles and seven 20-point games.
Combined, he has averaged 35.5 PRA against the Warriors. This season, he has averaged 38.1 PRA and cleared this line in six of his first nine games.
Pick: Alperen Sengun 35+ Points, Rebounds, and Assists
