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NBA Picks, Predictions, Props for Friday, February 6

NBA Picks, Predictions, Props for Friday, February 6 article feature image
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Action Network/Imagn Images: Bam Adebayo, Jalen Brunson, Anthony Edwards, Brook Lopez

The NBA regular season is back in action with an excellent slate of games this Friday, with a total of six matchups on the docket scheduled for today. So, our staff of basketball betting experts dug into the latest odds and identified NBA picks for all six of tonight's contests.

Continue below for our NBA picks, odds, props, and predictions for Friday, February 6.

NBA Picks, Predictions, Props for Friday, February 6

GameTime (ET)Pick
Miami Heat LogoBoston Celtics Logo
7:30 p.m.
New York Knicks LogoDetroit Pistons Logo
7:30 p.m.
Indiana Pacers LogoMilwaukee Bucks Logo
8 p.m.
New Orleans Pelicans LogoMinnesota Timberwolves Logo
8 p.m.
Memphis Grizzlies LogoPortland Trail Blazers Logo
10 p.m.
Los Angeles Clippers LogoSacramento Kings Logo
10 p.m.
Specific betting recommendations come from the sportsbook offering preferred odds as of writing. Always shop for the best price using our NBA Odds page, which automatically surfaces the best lines for every game.

Heat vs. Celtics

Miami Heat Logo
Friday, Feb. 6
7:30 p.m. ET
NBA League Pass
Boston Celtics Logo
Bam Adebayo Over 18.5 Points (-112)
DraftKings  Logo

By Joe Dellera

The Heat face off against the Celtics on Friday, and I’ll be targeting Bam Adebayo in this spot.

Bam had a bit of a scoring lull a month and a half ago, but that’s regulated a bit over the last few weeks.

He’s been a consistent option for Miami as of late, averaging 20.7 points per game over his last 10 outings.

Notably, three of those games were against the Bulls, who just shipped Nikola Vucevic off to the Celtics to be a primary big for them.

Vucevic is not a great defensive presence, and when you couple that with Boston’s relative lack of depth at the center position, I can see this going well for Adebayo.

Bam has scored 16 and 22 points against Boston already this season, and I like the spot tonight considering his form of late.

Pick: Bam Adebayo Over 18.5 Points (-112)



Playbook

Knicks vs. Pistons

New York Knicks Logo
Friday, Feb. 6
7:30 p.m. ET
Amazon Prime Video
Detroit Pistons Logo
Knicks -1 (-110)
bet365 Logo

By Matt Moore

Detroit might have peaked a little bit. The Pistons beat the Nuggets to sweep the season series on Tuesday. They have been leading the East for most of the season. They lost to the Wizards on Thursday, and now are on a back-to-back.

Cade Cunningham was questionable going into Thursday’s game and played, so he’s likely to miss this one, hence why the No. 1 seed is an underdog at home in this spot.

The Pistons are 5-1 ATS this season without Cunningham, which is concerning, but the Knicks have not peaked, not yet.

The Knicks' defense has been lights out for the past two weeks. However, Detroit has a -1.74 spread differential against top-10 defenses per Cleaning The Glass, which is what the Knicks have been during this stretch.

The Pistons have two weaknesses in their defensive profile: they allow offensive rebounds and they foul.

The Knicks are third in offensive rebound rate thanks to Mitch Robinson being some sort of mythical creature made entirely of OREBs, and they rank third in free throw rate thanks to Jalen Brunson being an S-tier grifter.

The Pistons are a better defensive team, the Knicks are a better offensive team. But right now, the Knicks’ defense is ahead of the Pistons’ offense, especially short-handed on a back-to-back. I’ll take the Knicks to keep the good times rolling.

Pick: Knicks -1 (-110)



Pacers vs. Bucks

Indiana Pacers Logo
Friday, Feb. 6
8 p.m. ET
NBA League Pass
Milwaukee Bucks Logo
Pacers Moneyline (-125)
bet365 Logo

By Bet Labs

This NBA moneyline system identifies road teams positioned for a bounce back after a recent loss, taking advantage of the market’s tendency to undervalue teams following poor performances.

When a team loses by any margin in its previous game and immediately plays again on the road, it often responds with sharper focus and renewed energy.

Short travel stretches and single road starts help minimize fatigue while maintaining rhythm.

Public betting tends to fade these teams, driving value on the moneyline within moderate favorite ranges where the talent gap still favors the road side.

Historically, these teams show resilience and motivation after defeat, translating into profitable rebounds during the regular season as they aim to reestablish momentum and avoid extended losing streaks.

Pick: Pacers Moneyline (-125)



Pelicans vs. Timberwolves

New Orleans Pelicans Logo
Friday, Feb. 6
8 p.m. ET
NBA League Pass
Minnesota Timberwolves Logo
Under 236.5 (-110)
bet365 Logo

By Matt Moore

The Wolves have gone over in four games in a row, but they also tend to go under when they face a team under .500 (15-12 to the under).

When the total is above 230 in Wolves games this season, the under is 17-12, and it’s 19-20 in Pelicans games. The under is over .500 on the road, under at home.

The Pelicans attempt the highest percentage of shots at the rim in the league, but of course, the Wolves employ Rudy Gobert, and their rim defense is ranked top-10.

The Wolves force a high number of mid-range attempts, and the Pelicans are worst in the league at mid-range shooting.

The Pelicans have no incentive to tank, having sent their first-round pick out, so they’ll compete here. Minnesota should be able to hold their offense down, though.

I’ve got this total projected at 228. So, I’ll take the under here, as the Wolves offense will likely cool down, and the Pelicans should be able to keep the game close enough to prevent it from getting out of hand.

Pick: Under 236.5 (-110)



Grizzlies vs. Trail Blazers

Memphis Grizzlies Logo
Friday, Feb. 6
10 p.m. ET
NBA League Pass
Portland Trail Blazers Logo
Under 232.5 (-110)
bet365 Logo

By Bet Labs

This NBA totals betting system targets regular season games where betting action and market movement are misaligned.

When a majority of wagers lean heavily toward the Over yet the total drops from open to close, it signals sharp money driving the line down despite public sentiment.

In these spots, both teams often come off recent games that exceeded expectations offensively, inflating totals and public confidence in high scoring outcomes.

However, regression and defensive adjustments tend to follow, especially when oddsmakers shade lines higher to match demand.

This setup creates ideal conditions for value on the Under, as professional bettors anticipate slower pace, shooting variance, or fatigue leading to lower scoring than the market expects.

NBA Icon
Evan Abrams – Reverse Line Movement Unders
the over/under % is between 0% and 40%
betting on the Under
the game is played during the Regular season
the visitor's previous game OU margin is between 0 and 1000
the home team's previous game OU margin is between 0 and 1000
the o/u change from open to close is between -100 and -1
$3,254
WON
637-568-12
RECORD
53%
WIN%

Pick: Under 232.5 (-110)



Clippers vs. Kings

Los Angeles Clippers Logo
Friday, Feb. 6
10 p.m. ET
Amazon Prime Video
Sacramento Kings Logo
Clippers -3 (-110)
bet365 Logo

By Bet Labs

This NBA system identifies value in conference games where favorites are struggling but still favored by the market.

When a team has recently underperformed yet remains favored, it suggests the betting line reflects long term strength rather than short term results.

These situations often create buying opportunities on quality teams that are due for positive regression after a rough stretch.

Facing familiar conference opponents adds familiarity and stability to performance expectations, while moderate spreads and balanced totals keep volatility in check.

This approach capitalizes on the overreaction to recent form, betting on strong teams to rebound once market sentiment has dipped too far against them.

NBA Icon
Evan Abrams – Bet Struggling Favorites
the team's 5 Game recent win percentage is between 0% and 40%
the game is a Conference game
the spread is between -9.5 and 0
the team's win percent differential is between -100 and -10
the spread % is between 0% and 79%
the closing total is between 210 and 235.5
the team's game number is between 26 and 1000
$5,427
WON
330-255-5
RECORD
56%
WIN%

Pick: Clippers -3 (-110)



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