NBA PrizePicks Player Props: Parlay Jonas Valanciunas, Joel Embiid and Pascal Siakam in Game 6s (April 28)

NBA PrizePicks Player Props: Parlay Jonas Valanciunas, Joel Embiid and Pascal Siakam in Game 6s (April 28) article feature image

Jonathan Bachman/Getty Images. Pictured: Jonas Valanciunas #17 of the New Orleans Pelicans.

  • Looking for a way to get in on player props for the NBA Playoffs? You've come to the right place.
  • Brandon Anderson dives into three PrizePicks plays for Thursday's Game 6 matchups
  • Find his PrizePicks parlay picks and analysis below.

Player props have become among the most popular bets in the industry, but while the amount of states with legalized gambling is growing, some may feel left out.

Enter: PrizePicks.

With PrizePicks, you get the opportunity to essentially parlay game prop over/unders with cash payouts depending on how many you get correct on that day’s slate.

You can do a Flex Play or a Power Play. A Flex Play gives you lesser odds, but you can win money even if you don’t nail every pick. Meanwhile, a Power Play is similar to a parlay — it’s all or nothing.

Here’s how I would approach today’s slate in NBA Playoffs slate.

What is PrizePicks? A daily fantasy operator — meaning they’re available in more states (30) than sports betting is! — PrizePicks offers a unique opportunity for action on player props in which you parlay two or more plays together.

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NBA PrizePicks Parlay

Jonas Valanciunas Over 12.5 rebounds

The Pelicans have hung tough in their series against the Suns and still have a chance to shock the world with two more wins. If they do, Jonas Valanciunas will have to be a big part of the reason why.

New Orleans has made a living dominating the offensive glass in this series, and Valanciunas set the tone in Game 1. He had 13 offensive rebounds in that game and 25 boards overall. He's had 18 more offensive boards since and has gone over this rebounding line in four of the five games this series, averaging 15.6 RPG.

The one under was his worst game of the series with "only" 11 rebounds plus six points, and it was also his fewest minute played. New Orleans is going to need more from JV in a potential elimination game, especially as well as Deandre Ayton has played for Phoenix. That means more time crashing the glass, so let's get those Valanciunas rebounds.

Pascal Siakam Over 5.5 Assists

Toronto's best players will have to step up with Fred VanVleet doubtful, and Siakam has been the man to step up most with FVV out.

Siakam had a big line in a Game 5 victory with 23 points, 10 rebounds, and seven assists. Those numbers were in line with his regular season performance without VanVleet, when he averaged 24.9 points, 7.8 rebounds, and 6.5 assists in 15 games. he was over 5.5 assists in 10 of those 15 (67%), and remember, he'll play every minute he can handle in an elimination game.

Siakam had 15 potential assists in Game 5. Players typically see around half of their Potential Assists convert, and we only need six to go over here. Let's hope his Raptors teammates make shots.

Joel Embiid Under 42.5 Points + Rebounds + Assists

Embiid clearly hasn't been himself the last two games, ever since news of his thumb injury.

The Sixers won the first three games of the series and Embiid played like an MVP candidate, averaging 27.7 points and 13.0 rebounds per game. But he's been inefficient and less aggressive the last two games, and those numbers have fallen off sharply to 20.5 points and 9.5 boards per game.

Embiid is averaging just 33.5 PRA in those last two games, far short of this number. It's no coincidence that Philadelphia has lost both of those games with Embiid struggling.

Maybe this is a spot where he re-finds his form, but the way Toronto is double teaming him and attacking him on defense, it could be another tough game ahead. An overall PRA under is the best way to fade him.

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Doug Ziefel
Jul 13, 2024 UTC