NBA Sharp Betting Picks: Mavericks vs. Wizards, Pistons vs. Thunder Drawing Pro Action Friday
Zach Beeker/NBAE via Getty Images. Pictured: Chris Paul
Tonight’s NBA slate may not be as top heavy as last night’s in terms of pre-game buzz, but it does offer more options, which means more opportunities for sharp bettors to find value.
And while they may not be the most highly-anticipated matchups on the already underwhelming docket, Mavs-Wizards and Pistons-Thunder have both drawn action from the pros. Let’s take a look.
Odds as of Friday at 12:45 p.m. ET. Check out FanDuel, where Action Network users get a risk-free bet up to $500.
Mavericks vs. Wizards
7 p.m. ET
Much can — and almost surely will — change regarding this line as Kristaps Porzingis’ status becomes more clear throughout the day. But sharps aren’t wasting any time making moves on both the spread and over/under.
Even with the potential of playing without Kristaps (nose) and having Luka Doncic (knee) already on the sideline, the Mavs have had no trouble garnering a heavy public backing tonight.
Eighty percent of bettors — the second-highest mark for any team today — are taking Dallas, which opened as just a 3-point favorite. However, that number has fallen down -2 at most shops.
The 20% of Wizards bettors have generated 27% of actual money hitting the spread in this game, meaning Washington is drawing bigger bets, which tend to come from sharps.
Three Sports Insights Bet Signals, which track and record instances of market activity caused by sharp action, have been triggered on the Wiz, confirming a pro backing of the home dogs and explaining why oddsmakers have brought this line down.
Sharp angles: Wizards (moved from +3 to +2)
Pistons vs. Thunder
8 p.m. ET
For a while this was the biggest line move of the day — and still could close that way — but has inched back toward its opening number as tip-off has approached.
Still, it’s pretty clear which side of the total has drawn more smart money.
After opening at 219, this number was brought all the way down to 213.5 across most of the market, even with 58% of bettors taking a liking to the over. But as you might expect given the characteristics of the game above, those bettors have not been the ones laying down big bucks.
The 42% of tickets landing on the under have made up for an impressive 90% of money hitting this total, which has once again point toward the sharper side.
It’s worth noting that, as mentioned, the latest move has been back toward the opener, resulting in a current consensus of 215. If SI’s Bet Signals — which record sharp under moves at 219 and 215 — are any indication, it’s certainly possible we could see smart money buy the under again before this game starts.
Sharp angle: Under (moved from 219 to 215)