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Jazz vs Pistons Prediction, Pick, Odds for Wednesday, November 5

Jazz vs Pistons Prediction, Pick, Odds for Wednesday, November 5 article feature image
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Petre Thomas-Imagn Images. Pictured: Cade Cunningham

The Utah Jazz (3-4) and Detroit Pistons (5-2) will face off in the NBA tonight. Tipoff is set for 7:00 p.m. ET from Little Caesars Arena in Detroit, Michigan. The game will broadcast live on FDSDET.

The Pistons are 10.5-point favorites over the Jazz on the spread (Pistons -10.5), with the over/under set at 232.5 total points. Detroit is a -450 favorite to win outright on the moneyline, while Utah is +350 to pull off the upset.

Let's get into my Jazz vs. Pistons predictions and NBA picks for Wednesday, November 5.


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My Jazz vs Pistons Prediction

  • Jazz vs Pistons pick: Over 232.5 (-110)

My Pistons vs Jazz best bet is on the over, with the best price currently available at bet365. But as always, make sure to find the best odds by checking our live NBA odds page.


Jazz vs Pistons Odds

Jazz Logo
Wednesday, Nov 5
7 p.m. ET
FDSDET
Pistons Logo
Jazz Odds
SpreadTotalMoneyline
+10.5
-110
232.5
-110o / -110u
+350
Pistons Odds
SpreadTotalMoneyline
-10.5
-110
232.5
-110o / -110u
-450
Odds via bet365. Get up-to-the-minute NBA odds here.
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Jazz vs Pistons NBA Preview

Although Detroit and Utah are not offensive juggernauts, ranking 20th and 21st in points per game this season, their combined average is pretty close to tonight's 232.5 total line.

The Pistons have scored 115.9 points per game, and the Jazz currently average 115.6 PPG.

In the four previous games played at Little Caesars Arena in Detroit, three of them ended with a combined score of 232 points or more.

More importantly, in the last six matchups between these teams, going back to November 2022, five of them went over 232.5 total points.

Lauri Markkanen is having a great season for the Jazz, ranking fifth in the league in scoring with 31.1 PPG and sixth in 3-pointers made with 3.6 per game.

The Pistons have Cade Cunningham ranking third in assists with 9.6 per game, and 23.6 PPG.

This aligns with our Bet Labs recommendation for the over in tonight's game.


Jazz vs Pistons Prediction, Betting Analysis

The "Bad Road Overs" system focuses on NBA games in which struggling road teams face stronger home opponents in non-conference matchups, creating favorable conditions for high-scoring games.

When a poor road team with a low win rate meets a winning home team, the visitor's defensive effort and intensity often dip, while the home side pushes the pace and controls the offensive rhythm.

Non-conference games tend to feature looser defensive schemes and unfamiliar matchups, leading to faster scoring runs and less resistance in transition.

The data shows that when totals close above the 220 range and the line movement slightly favors the Over, the market correctly anticipates offensive efficiency rather than defensive pressure.

These situations consistently produce games where both teams exceed expectations, with the stronger home team dictating tempo and the weaker visitor contributing enough to push the total past the number.

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Evan Abrams – Bad Road Overs (V2)
the home team's win percentage is between 50% and 100%
the visitor team's win percentage is between 0% and 50%
the o/u change from open to close is between -1 and 100
the game is a Non-Conference game
betting on the Over
the game is played during the Regular season
the closing total is between 220 and 1000
$4,417
WON
299-233-5
RECORD
56%
WIN%

Pick: Over 232.5 (-110, bet365)

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Pistons vs Jazz Betting Trends


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