Our 6 Favorite Under-the-Radar College Basketball Bets for Wednesday
Brad Mills-USA TODAY Sports. Pictured: Campbell guard Chris Clemons
- While not covered as much nationally, the smaller conferences can arguably provide more value for bettors.
- For those bettors interested in some of the smaller conferences, we have provided our six favorite under the radar sides for Wednesday.
We are only a few weeks away from streaming college basketball during weekday afternoons when the lower tier conference tournaments get underway. And while we won’t find our national title winner from these conferences, that doesn’t mean there isn’t betting value.
And since coverage of the major conferences is pretty widespread, we thought we’d focus more on some of the lesser known programs a few times a week for the remainder of the season. For tonight, we have Camels and Dolphins — in addition to a few more familiar mid-major matchups.
Let’s get into our six favorite bets for Wednesday night, starting off with the nation’s leading scorer.
>> All odds as of 1 p.m. ET. Download The Action Network App to get real-time odds and win probabilities on your bets.
Mike Randle: Campbell -6 vs. Hampton
7 p.m. ET on ESPN+
Why would anyone bet against Chris Clemons (29.1 ppg) at home? The nation’s leading scorer has averaged 32.8 ppg over his last four home games. Clemons should get at least 22 tonight to pass Danny Manning at No. 10 on the NCAA all-time leading scoring list.
We also have a little revenge in play. Hampton beat Campbell 64-58 at home on Jan. 26, but since that game, the Pirates have lost three of four and are headed in the wrong direction. The Fighting Camels, however, have won both home games since that loss by an average of 18.5 points. They have also covered three consecutive home games and four straight overall.
In Big South play, Campbell ranks first in both turnovers forced and fewest offensive turnovers. Throw in the Camels 80.9% free throw percentage in conference games and Campbell gets an easy payback home win over the Pirates.
Stuckey: Stetson +4 vs. Jacksonville
7 p.m. ET on ESPN+
Hold your nose, we are going back to DeLand, Fla., to bet the Hatters, who did get their only conference win of the season when we backed them against Kennesaw State earlier this month.
At 1-9 in Atlantic Sun play, Stetson sits all alone in the basement of the conference standings, trailing Kennesaw State by one game. However, I think that should work as a motivating factor tonight against a Jacksonville team that sits at 4-7 in the conference. Why? Well, of the nine teams in the conference, only eight make the conference tournament. And let’s be honest, that’s all Stetson is playing for this season. This isn’t Duke.
Both teams are coming off hard-fought losses on the road against the top two teams in the conference, but the Hatters will benefit from eight days off, while the Dolphins played this past Saturday. I just don’t see Jacksonville having much focus for this game with a week off on the horizon.
And while the Dolphins could control the offensive glass, this line is just a tad too high in a matchup of two horrid offenses, especially with the favorable spot for Stetson.
Bonus: Liberty +7.5 at Lipscomb
7 p.m. ET on ESPNU
I also like another dog in the ASUN between those two aforementioned top ASUN teams in Liberty and Lipscomb.
This is a great spot to back the Flames, who head out on the road after four straight home games looking for revenge from a 20-point blowout home loss (as 2.5-point favorites) at the hands of Lipscomb earlier this month. In that game, Liberty, one of the best shooting teams in the country (as is Lipscomb) simply couldn’t hit the broad side of the barn. I think they played a little nervy in front of the home crowd and can play a little more relaxed tonight.
Liberty has also played well on the highway this season, including road wins at Kent State and at UCLA. It has also won all four conference road games by double digits. I think the Flames keep this close in a huge game for the program in its first season in the Atlantic Sun.
Danny Donahue: La Salle -1.5 vs. Duquesne
7 p.m. ET on ESPN+
At first glance, this line might not make sense on the surface to most casual bettors. The 7-15 Explorers are favored over the 16-8 Dukes of Duquesne?
How could you not take the points, or even a plus-money payout with Duquense on the moneyline?
Well, 81% of bettors are doing just that as of Wednesday morning, which puts La Salle in a valuable spot historically.
I’ll trust the oddsmakers here and lay the points with the home team that has played a lot better of late: La Salle had won four straight before a respectable loss in a competitive game at George Mason.
I’m also sure La Salle hasn’t forgotten about the last time these teams met when Duquesne pulled it out in triple overtime.
Steve Petrella: Bradley +3 (-120) vs. Loyola-Chicago
8 p.m. ET on ESPN+
Bradley is catching a few points as a home dog, which has been a profitable spot for the Braves in the past. They have the 41st-best home-court advantage in the country, per KenPom, and are 42-32 ATS as a home dog since 2005.
Bradley’s offense has also been much better since a dreadful 37 point effort against Missouri State on Jan. 26. The Braves have posted an offensive efficiency above NCAA average in their last four games and had by far their best offensive game of the season on Saturday against Indiana State.
In what should be a low-scoring game, grab the points with Bradley.
John Ewing: Xavier +1.5 vs. Creighton
8:30 p.m. ET on CBSSN
The Musketeers have lost six straight and eight of their past 10 games, including a 76-54 loss to the Bluejays 10 days ago. The public wants no part of Xavier as more than 80% of spread tickets are on Creighton. And when there is lopsided action on a team in a power conference game, it has been profitable to fade the public.
Reverse line movement bet signals (an indication of sharp money) have also been triggered on Xavier. The Musketeers aren’t a popular play, which is exactly why I’ll be betting them to get their revenge against Creighton. Xavier should also have its way inside against a Blue Jays team playing its third straight game away from Omaha.