Georgetown vs Creighton Odds, Pick: Mauling Expected
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Georgetown vs Creighton Odds, Pick
The upcoming Big East matchup between Georgetown and Creighton is a tale of two drastically different teams and a double-digit point spread.
The stark contrasts in their season-long statistics and recent performances provide an interesting decision to make regarding the point spread considering Creighton is 17.5-point favorites at home.
Throughout the season, Georgetown has faced challenges that are reflected in its stats. With an adjusted offensive efficiency that ranks 104th and an effective field goal percentage that places them 263rd nationally, the Hoyas have struggled to convert possessions into points efficiently.
Their ability to maintain possession has also been less than ideal, with Georgetown ranking 249th in turnover percentage. However, the Hoyas have shown prowess on the boards, ranking 40th in offensive rebounding percentage. Despite those efforts, their overall performance has been hampered by their defensive metrics, highlighting areas of vulnerability against a team with Creighton's elite profile.
Georgetown ranks 305th in adjusted defensive efficiency and 335th in defensive eFG%. Their rebounding and ability to generate turnovers do little to alleviate these issues. This combination of challenges suggests Georgetown has had to fight an uphill battle in most of its games, a trend that is likely to continue in its upcoming contest against Creighton.
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Creighton, on the other hand, presents a formidable challenge, particularly on offense. Ranking 22nd in adjusted offensive efficiency and seventh in eFG%, the Bluejays have demonstrated a remarkable ability to score efficiently at a championship-caliber level.
Their ball-handling has been solid, with a turnover percentage that places them 70th, although their offensive rebounding (281st) and free-throw rate (350th) are areas of relative weakness.
Defensively, Creighton has been stout, ranking 26th in adjusted efficiency and 16th in eFG%. Its defensive rebounding (26th) has also been excellent, but generating turnovers (362nd) has not been the Bluejays' strength, suggesting a defensive strategy focused more on solid positioning and contesting shots rather than aggressive ball theft.
Considering the matchup dynamics and statistical analysis, Creighton covering the -17.5 spread seems to be the ideal bet. The disparity in both teams' offensive and defensive efficiencies — particularly Creighton's high eFG% on offense and its strong defensive metrics — positions the Bluejays to control the game against Georgetown.
The Hoyas' difficulties in scoring efficiently and preventing opponents from doing the same are likely to be exacerbated by Creighton's balanced and efficient play style. Additionally, the game being held at Creighton adds a home-court advantage that should not be underestimated, further tilting the scales in favor of the Bluejays covering the spread. The Bluejays already defeated the Hoyas by a 17-point margin at Georgetown.