The final day of the regular season is here, and we also have four conference tournament finals, which means four automatic bids to the NCAA Tournament are being given out.
Thus, our staff has three spots to target on Sunday for your betting card.
So, dive in below for college basketball picks, including a stellar edge that highlights our Sunday NCAAB best bets.
College Basketball Picks
| Game | Time (ET) | Pick |
|---|---|---|
  | 12 p.m. | |
  | 3 p.m. | |
  | 5 p.m. | |
Specific betting recommendations come from the sportsbook offering preferred odds as of writing. Always shop for the best price using our NCAAB Odds page, which automatically surfaces the best lines for every game. | ||
Penn State vs. Rutgers
This is a power-conference game, but it sure feels like dumpster diving taking a matchup between two bottom-of-the-barrel Big Ten teams.
The Nittany Lions and Terps have a combined 7-31 record in league play, making this a game heavily influenced by motivation.
But beyond those calculations, our Action PRO projections say there's solid value on Penn State to cover the spread on the road.
Our projections say that the spread should be 3.5 in favor of Rutgers, giving this selection a nice +4.8% edge or a B- grade.
Pick: Penn State +5.5
UTSA vs. Rice
By Evan Abrams
On a day filled with conference tournament play and Big Ten action, a matchup between 5-24 UTSA and 12-18 Rice doesn't sit high on a priority list.
However, I have a system — "Tough Season, 2-2-2" — that says the Roadrunners covering the spread is a solid play.
The numbers backs up the value, as this system holds a 4% return on investment (ROI) all-time and a 9% ROI this season alone.
There's also another system I credited — "Slow Pace, Struggling" — that likes the same play (it has similar ROI numbers).
This system is built on the idea that the market can become overly punitive toward road teams going through miserable seasons, especially when the data shows sustained underperformance both straight up and against the number.
By isolating visiting teams in either the regular season or postseason with negative season-long cover margins, negative average scoring margins, extended losing streaks and a recent loss, the angle assumes bookmakers inflate spreads to account for public disdain.
When those teams are catching significant points, perception of incompetence often outweighs matchup specifics.
Yet even struggling college programs still feature scholarship athletes, structured defensive schemes and pride that can surface in single game settings.
Large spreads create room for variance late, particularly when favorites ease off with a lead or rotate benches.
The result is a scenario where a team having a brutal season (in this case UTSA) can still land inside an exaggerated number because expectations have already been priced to the extreme, turning season-long failure into short-term spread value.
Pick: UTSA +11.5
Iowa vs. Nebraska
I like the Huskers to avenge their loss in Iowa City from earlier this season and close out a historic regular season in a big way on their home court.
The Pinnacle Bank Arena crowd will be rocking in this one, and I don't think the Hawkeyes have the offensive firepower outside of Bennett Stirtz to keep pace in this one.
Nebraska will come out of the gates firing, generating plenty of open looks from beyond the 3-point arc.
Iowa is well-coached under Ben McCollum and will try to slow it down, but Fred Hoiberg's Huskers will eventually pull away.
Give me Nebraska to win and cover in Lincoln.
Pick: Nebraska -5.5 (Play to -6.5)
