Clemson vs Duke Odds & Picks | How to Bet Saturday’s ACC Matchup
Photo by Ryan Hunt/Getty Images. Pictured: PJ Hall (Clemson)
Clemson vs Duke Odds
On Saturday night, the Duke Blue Devils will travel to take on a Clemson Tigers team with a perfect 6-0 record in the ACC. In addition to spoiling the Tigers' perfect record, Duke will look to improve its 2-3 record in games played away from Cameron Indoor.
The Blue Devils' only win on the road in conference came last Saturday when they defeated a struggling Boston College team, 65-64.
Clemson has built its four-game winning streak behind a balanced offensive attack featuring four players averaging double figures.
To see if Duke will be able to spoil the Tigers' perfect conference record, let's take a look at the odds and make a prediction for the Duke Blue Devils vs. the Clemson Tigers.
Clemson has built one of the best offenses in the ACC behind the play of its frontcourt duo of center PJ Hall and forward Hunter Tyson. The two big men have combined for 28.6 points and 14.7 rebounds per game.
This frontcourt play is important to emphasize, as they match up with Duke's star freshman Kyle Filipowski. The Blue Devils have used Filipowski on over 29% of their possessions, the 69th-highest rate in the country. Filipowski's ability to play on the perimeter has been a matchup nightmare for most teams.
On Saturday, Filipowski will be matched up with a Clemson frontcourt that has the ability to find success from the perimeter and the interior.
Hall has posted a 5.8% block percentage while shooting 41% from 3-point range, a testament to his versatility.
Another exciting win in Littlejohn! Hunter Tyson and PJ Hall both went for 20+ and Chase Hunter and Alex Hemenway added in big performances for the Tigers‼️
🎥 Clemson vs. Towson Highlights pic.twitter.com/u7nkYiWZSc
— Clemson Basketball (@ClemsonMBB) December 8, 2022
Additionally, Duke's offense has relied on its ability to create second-chance opportunities on the offensive glass. The Blue Devils create second chances on 39% of their offensive possessions, the fifth-highest rate in the country.
Defensively, Clemson has been disciplined in limiting these second-chance opportunities, only allowing them to occur on 24.5% of its opponents' possessions, the 38th-lowest rate in the country.
Even if Clemson's offense takes a step back, I expect the defense to limit the Blue Devils' second-chance opportunities and to frustrate Filipowski, who Duke has relied on all season.
Duke has suffered two losses in conference play due to an offensive ranking of 219th nationally in effective field goal percentage (49.2%)
This inconsistent offensive play will again be challenged against a Clemson team allowing just 66.9 points per game.
The one weakness for this impressive Tigers defense has been guarding the perimeter. Clemson has allowed 36.4% of its points from beyond the arc, the 40th-highest rate in the country.
Unfortunately, this is an area that the Blue Devils have struggled, scoring just 28.2% of their points from 3-point range as a result of 31.9% shooting (262nd nationally).
Instead, Duke has looked to the interior to score 51.6% of its points. This is the area where the Clemson defense is at its best, allowing opponents to score just 43.4% of their points from close range (345th nationally).
Clemson's ability to force the Blue Devils into outside shots will be effective in limiting an offense struggling to find consistency.
Clemson vs Duke Betting Pick
This ACC matchup will feature plenty of defensive success on Saturday night. In addition to these defensive advantages, both teams will look to play at a methodical pace.
Both teams rank outside the top 150 in Adjusted Tempo, averaging no more than 68 possession per game. Additionally, Clemson will force Duke to settle for outside shots, an area it has struggled offensively.
There's value on the under in a game that both teams will look to win on the defensive end.