First Four Odds, Pick: Sean Koerner’s Prediction for Howard vs Wagner (March 19)

First Four Pick for Howard vs Wagner

Wagner has one of the worst offenses in the country, and it’ll be going up against one of the worst defenses in Howard.

Howard tends to struggle by allowing teams to score inside and sending its opponent to the free-throw line at a high rate. However, Wagner struggles to get to the line and score inside, so it seems unlikely to take advantage of the plus matchup.

The Bison offense is excellent at making 3s and getting to the line, but the Seahawks have held opponents to a 30% 3-point percentage (10th-lowest in D1) and do an above-average job of keeping their opponents from getting to the charity stripe.

Both teams play at a slow pace, with Wagner playing at one of the slowest paces in the country.

This is a matchup where each team’s weakness (Wagner's offense vs. Howard's defense) and strengths (Howard's offense vs. Wagner's defense) sets up for the under.

I'm projecting this closer to 125.5, so I'll take the under 128.5 available at BetMGM.

Pick: Under 128.5