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Friday College Basketball Betting Data: Big Underdogs Getting Contrarian Love

Mar 15, 2019 5:09 PM EDT
Credit:

Jeffrey Becker-USA TODAY Sports. Pictured: Ryan Kriener

It’s that time of year — bettors don’t shy away from certain big underdogs because they figure teams that are still alive in their conference tournaments must be pretty good.

Here, we’re taking a look at The Action Network’s public betting data to see where the money is and where the lines might be heading.

All betting data comes from our public betting page (ticket count is free, but money percentages are available only to EDGE subscribers). Betting trends are available for free in The Action Network app, while more advanced betting systems are available to Sports Insights subscribers via Bet Labs.

Most Public Teams

As of 4:30 p.m. ET. Minimum 1,000 bets tracked.

Get public betting percentages for every game here, for free.

  1. Tennessee -4.5 (80%) vs. Mississippi State
  2. Davidson -6 (79%) vs. Saint Joe’s
  3. Duke -3.5 (75%) vs. UNC
  4. Dayton -4 (74%) vs. St. Louis
  5. Bowling Green -3 (84%) vs. Northern Illinois

Biggest Betting Ticket/Money Discrepancies

We track both betting tickets on a given game and the percentage of money that’s been bet on each side. If there is a big discrepancy, there’s likely some sharper, larger bets on the opposite side.

Here are the three biggest discrepancies for Friday night as of 4:30 p.m. ET. This data will change as we get closer to tipoffs. Minimum 1,000 bets.

Iowa +8 vs. Michigan

  • 9:30 p.m. ET
  • 41% of tickets, 76% of money
  • 35% difference
  • Line move: None

West Virginia +10 vs. Kansas

  • 9:30 p.m. ET
  • 55% of tickets, 84% of money
  • 29% difference
  • Line move: WVU +10.5 to +10

West Virginia appeared in this exact spot yesterday and shocked Texas Tech. Can the Mountaineers pull their third straight upset as a 7-point or greater underdog?

Florida State +8.5 vs. Virginia

  • 7 p.m. ET
  • 38% of tickets, 66% of money
  • 28% difference
  • Line move: None

EDGE subscribers can get the rest of the biggest ticket/money differences here.

Bet Labs Pro Trend

Over at Bet Labs, we’ve created historically profitable betting systems for every sport.

Bryan Mears has identified 10 profitable conference tournament betting trends, and he’s updating this post with matches once lines come out each day. There are still loads of games that fit systems on Friday night.

One that sticks out is good teams being undervalued in conference tournaments. It applies to Kentucky and Cincinnati tonight.


Create your own betting systems by signing up for a trial of Bet Labs here.


Sharp Money Indicators

Each day, we try to highlight one game from our sharp report page that has multiple indicators of sharp action.

We’ve tracked a steam move and reverse line movement on Weber State, which is getting just 40% of bets but 59% of money, against Montana.

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