Odds Boosts Worth Betting: UNC & Villanova PointsBet Boost Has 15% Edge
Lance King/Getty Images. Pictured: Armando Bacot (5) and RJ Davis (4).
Most sportsbook boosts are … not so great. They take a bet with a bad price, cross out the line, then put another bad price up that’s only slightly better.
But some are worth betting! By removing the juice from game lines at market-making books and comparing it to the boosted price, we can find the expected value.
|Bet||UNC & Villanova to win|
|True price as of Friday morning and subject to change.|
PointsBet is offering a boost on both UNC and Villanova to win in the Final Four on Saturday.
Removing the vig from the lines at sharper books like Pinnacle (+661) and Circa Sports (+653) gives us a substantial edge on the boosted price at PointsBet of +775.
If you try to parlay both moneylines normally at any sportsbook, you’ll get far worse prices:
- DraftKings: +589
- PointsBet: +602
- BetMGM: +576
- FanDuel: +592
- BetRivers: 597
So +775 is a great price. It will lose more than it wins, but it’s about a 15% edge and worth blindly betting.
It’s just a $15 max on my account.