Stuckey: How I’m Approaching Each Sweet 16 Game on Friday

Mar 29, 2019 08:05 AM EDT
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Photo credit: Christopher Hanewinckel-USA TODAY Sports. Pictured: Auburn Tigers guards Bryce Brown and J’Von McCormick

  • Stuckey details how he's approaching each of the four games on Friday's NCAA Tournament betting card.
  • Some he's already hit pregame, others he'll be waiting to get live if a better number pops.

This is the last day of the tourney where we will have more than two games. Cherish it.

I really like the side and total in one of the late games — and think each of the other three might present some nice live betting opportunities. Here’s how I’m approaching all four Sweet 16 games on Friday night.


LSU-Michigan State

  • Line: Michigan State -6
  • Total: 148
  • Time: 7:09 p.m. ET, CBS

What has me most worried about backing LSU in this matchup is the enormous coaching edge for Michigan State. That will likely keep me off the Tigers pregame unless this number gets to Tigers +7.

If it never touches +7 pregame, I will be looking to back LSU at 7 or better live or adjusted for the game with a second half wager. I do think both teams will be able to do work on the offensive glass.

And LSU should force some turnovers against a Spartans team that can be a little loose with the ball at times. Also, Michigan State forces almost no turnovers (bottom 10 nationally in turnover percentage). Those extra possessions in LSU’s favor should help the underdog.

Ideally, Michigan State opens up a quick lead out of the gates. LSU is a very streaky team and has come back from large deficits all season, so, despite its youth, it won’t be phased by a quick Sparty spurt.

No feel on the total.

Auburn-North Carolina

  • Line: North Carolina -5.5
  • Total: 165
  • Time: 7:29 p.m. ET, TBS

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