Villanova vs. Ohio State Odds, Opening Spread, Predictions for March Madness 2022
Photo by Drew Hallowell/Getty Images. Pictured: Brandon Slater (Villanova)
Villanova vs. Ohio State Odds
| Villanova Odds | -8 | |
| Ohio State Odds | +8 | |
| Over/Under | 131.5 | |
| Opening spread and over/under via DraftKings. Find more March Madness odds here. | ||
The madness marches on as we roll into the second round of the 2022 NCAA Tournament, featuring No. 2 Villanova against No. 7 Ohio State on Sunday.
Find our expert’s projected odds and more about how these teams match up ahead of the Round of 32 below.
Projected Villanova vs. Ohio State Odds
| Projected Villanova Odds | -4.5 | |
| Projected Ohio State Odds | +4.5 | |
| Projected Over/Under | 139.7 | |
| March Madness projections as of Selection Sunday. Find the latest NCAA Tournament projections here. | ||
Villanova vs. Ohio State Matchup Matrix
Toggle the dropdowns below to hide or show how Villanova and Ohio State match up statistically. Data via KenPom as of Sunday, March 13:
Villanova Offense vs. Ohio State Defense
 |
 Offense
|
 Defense
|
 Edge
|
| eFG% | 78 | 81 |
 |
| Turnover % | 34 | 331 |
|
| Rebound Rate | 71 | 207 |
|
| Free Throw Rate | 143 | 155 |
|
Ohio State Offense vs. Villanova Defense
|
|
Offense
|
Defense
|
Edge
|
| eFG% | 23 | 82 |
|
| Turnover % | 59 | 138 |
|
| Rebound Rate | 154 | 152 |
|
| Free Throw Rate | 86 | 57 |
|
Pace of Play
|
|
|
|
| Tempo | 345 | 288 |
More About Villanova
Shane McNichol: When Jay Wright’s guys play to their potential, Villanova is the best team coming out of the Big East, by a somewhat comfortable margin. There are reasons to believe the Cats could fall short of that potential, though.
Villanova sorely lacks depth, ranking outside the top 300 in percentage of minutes played by bench players this season, per KenPom. Wright has six players he trusts and three more he’ll play in spurts as needed. When either of his two star guards head to the bench, Villanova looks out of sorts.
According to on/off data from Hoop Explorer, when Villanova plays without senior point guard Collin Gillespie, the Wildcats’ offensive rating, 3-point rate and percentage and assist rate take a dive, while turnovers jump upward. Those trends continue when second-leading scorer Justin Moore sits.
In the very rare case when both sit — just 81 possessions all season — Villanova’s offense craters.
More About Ohio State
Note: The following was written heading into the NCAA Tournament.
Collin Wilson: There may not be another team limping into the Big Dance more than the Buckeyes.
Losers in four of their last five games, Ohio State was bounced from the Big Ten Tournament by Penn State just a week after losing to Nebraska. The one common theme in each of the losses was strong first-half play followed by a collapse in the second.
Injuries to Kyle Young, Meechie Johnson and Zed Key have thrown the Buckeyes rotations into an unproductive loop, as the health of this team is the main factor heading into the first round. If Ohio State is healthy, it can be one of the best teams in half court offensive sets posting up opposing defenses.
The defense struggled with teams that used an effective pick-and-roll, but health is the most important factor facing Ohio State in the coming week.
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