Virginia vs. Auburn Betting Odds: Opening Point Spread, Over/Under for 2019 Final Four
USA TODAY Sports. Pictured: Bryce Brown and Kyle Guy
#1 Virginia vs. #5 Auburn, 2019 NCAA Tournament Final Four Betting Odds
- Spread: Virginia -5.5
- Over/Under: 130
- Date: April 6
- Time: 6:09 p.m. ET
- Location: Minneapolis, Minn.
- TV: CBS
>> All odds as of Sunday night. Download The Action Network App to get real-time odds and live win probabilities on your bets.
Auburn-Virginia in the Final Four will be a fun clash of styles, and will be one of the highest over/unders of UVA’s season.
The Tigers have been red-hot from 3-point range and ripped through their region thanks to that deadly shooting and fast pace.
Virginia looked a little sluggish in its first three games and needed an overtime miracle to top Purdue, but still boast elite metrics on both offense and defense.
Here’s how each team got here, plus our projected spread and total.
Auburn’s Statistical Profile
Auburn’s unbelievable win-streak over the past month spans 11 games, but the team’s white-hot shooting began with a win over Tennessee in the regular season finale. Since that point Auburn has hit at least 12 3-pointers in eight consecutive games including 17 in an upset win over North Carolina.
Chuma Okeke’s ACL injury will undoubtedly stifle the Tigers’ momentum, but if they can maintain their sixth-ranked offensive efficiency rate, the sky is the limit.
- Record: 29-9
- Adj. Efficiency Rank: 11
- Adj. Offensive Efficiency Rank: 6
- Adj. Defensive Efficiency Rank: 43
- Tempo Rank: 153
All advanced metrics via KenPom as of Saturday, March 30
Virginia’s Statistical Profile
After becoming the first No. 1-seed to lose in the NCAA Tournament Round of 64 last year, Virginia rebounded with a 28-2 season (16-2 in conference) and ranks as KenPom’s top college basketball team.
Not only do the Cavaliers play excruciatingly slow (ranking 353 in the country in tempo), but they’re extremely efficient on both sides of the ball, ranking in the top three in both offensive and defensive efficiency.
Virginia may not be the most exciting team to watch, but after edging out Purdue in a thriller, they are headed to the Final Four for the first time in 35 years.
- Record: 33-3
- Adj. Efficiency Rank: 1
- Adj. Offensive Efficiency Rank: 2
- Adj. Defensive Efficiency Rank: 5
- Tempo Rank: 353
All advanced metrics via KenPom as of Sunday, March 31
Sean Koerner’s Virginia-Auburn Projections
These ratings were built by Sean Koerner, our Director of Predictive Analytics, a former oddsmaker and FantasyPros’ most accurate in-season fantasy football ranker from 2015-2017.
- Spread: Virginia -5.5
- Over/Under: 138
- Score: Virginia 72 | Auburn 66.5
- Win Probability: Virginia 70% | Auburn 30%