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The Boston College Eagles take on the Notre Dame Fighting Irish in South Bend, Indiana, on Saturday, Nov. 14. Kickoff is set for 3:30 p.m. ET on NBC and Peacock.
Notre Dame is favored by -29.5 points on the spread with a moneyline of -8000. Boston College, meanwhile, enters as a +29.5 underdog and is +2000 on the moneyline to pull off the upset. The over/under sits at 52.5 total points.
Here’s my Boston College vs. Notre Dame prediction and college football pick for Saturday, November 14.
Boston College vs Notre Dame Prediction
- Boston College vs. Notre Dame Pick: Boston College Team Total Under 10.5 (Play to 10)
My Notre Dame vs. Boston College best bet is on Boston College Team Total u10.5. Find the best line available on our live NCAAF odds page and download the Action Network app for the latest picks and analysis.
Boston College vs Notre Dame Odds
| Boston College Odds | ||
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Total | Moneyline |
+29.5 -110 | 52.5 -110o / -110u | +2000 |
| Notre Dame Odds | ||
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Total | Moneyline |
-29.5 -110 | 52.5 -110o / -110u | -8000 |
- Boston College vs Notre Dame point spread: Notre Dame -29.5 (-110), Boston College +29.5 (-110)
- Boston College vs Notre Dame over/under: 52.5 (-110o / -110u)
- Boston College vs Notre Dame moneyline: Boston College +2000, Notre Dame -8000
Boston College vs Notre Dame College Football Preview
Boston College Eagles Betting Preview
After blowing an early lead to Florida State, Boston College’s hopes of playing in a bowl game are on life support. At 4-5, the Eagles need to win two of their last three games, a stretch that includes Notre Dame and Miami.
Unfortunately for Boston College, the offense has been abysmal this season, limping into Saturday ranked well below league average in Success Rate, Finishing Drives, Explosiveness and Havoc allowed.
While quarterback Mason McKenzie’s running ability does apply pressure to opposing linebackers, he has struggled to pick apart secondaries with his arm, completing just 57.2% of his passes.
Speaking of running ability, Bo MacCormack III has been one of the Eagles' few consistent sources of production, leading the offense to a top-25 mark in Rushing Success Rate while averaging five yards per carry.
Even when MacCormack can pull defensive attention to the middle, McKenzie has been unable to take advantage of the extra space on the outside, making the offense vulnerable to stalling out early on drives.
To make matters worse for Boston College, the defense has given its offense zero support, residing in the bottom half of the board in EPA Per Play allowed, Points Per Opportunity allowed and Havoc.
With neither side of the ball playing at a competitive level, the Eagles will continue to find themselves locked into fast-paced track meets while lacking the production on offense that's needed to keep pace on the scoreboard.
Notre Dame Fighting Irish Betting Preview
When the lights were shining the brightest, Notre Dame secured a massive win over Miami, keeping their hopes of making the College Football Playoff intact.
With that win, quarterback CJ Carr jumped up the oddsboard for the Heisman Trophy, torching the Hurricanes for 319 yards and three touchdowns while completing 72.5% of his passes.
With Carr under center, Notre Dame has been efficient, ranking near the top of the board in Success Rate, Finishing Drives and Havoc allowed.
Carr’s poise in the pocket helps trim down the total number of Turnover-Worthy Plays, keeping the Fighting Irish ahead of the sticks while methodically moving the ball down the field.
While Carr stretches out the defense, Nolan James Jr. and Jonaz Walton have been able to capitalize on the extra space in the middle. The Irish rank ninth in Rush EPA Per Play while averaging more than five yards per carry.
James also plays a role in the Fighting Irish's pass attack, giving the offense a versatile weapon in the backfield to help counter interior pressure.
On the other side of the ball, Notre Dame has been productive on defense, entering Week 11 ranked 38th in Success Rate allowed while creating Havoc at a top-20 rate.
Cornerback Leonard Moore is also projected to play after having to exit last week’s game against Miami with an eye injury, giving the defense a lockdown corner who's capable of taking away his side of the field.
Boston College vs Notre Dame Pick, Betting Analysis
When it comes to betting on any sport, especially college football, scheduling spots play an important role in a handicap.
After a massive win over the Hurricanes, Notre Dame finds itself in a sandwich spot with SMU on deck, potentially leading to a sloppy performance against Boston College with a conservative game script.
While this sort of situation would normally lead to a play on the Eagles, McKenzie isn't capable of moving the ball on the Fighting Irish defense, especially when lacking the arm talent needed to take care of the ball with Moore roaming in the back end.
With Notre Dame’s secondary holding its own in single coverage, the defense will also be able to spy linebackers across the middle, bottling up McKenzie in the backfield before he can take off and run.
Negative regression is also looming over MacCormack, with the Eagles running back facing off against a front seven that stuffs the run at a high rate, with top-15 marks in Rushing Success Rate allowed and in PPA allowed.
With no clear path to success for the Eagles, place a wager on Boston College to be held under its team total of 10.5 with a stop point at 10.
If Notre Dame gets out to a sizable lead in the first half, place a live bet on the Eagles to cover the spread at no lower than +31 once Marcus Freeman sends in the second unit.
Pick: Boston College Team Total Under 10.5 (Play to 10)
