Wilson: My 9 Favorite College Football Betting Picks for Week 9

Oct 27, 2018 9:06 AM EDT
  • Collin Wilson is back to give his nine favorite college football betting picks for Week 9.
  • He's made money on some of the worst teams in the country, and he's going back to the well with another one this week.

Last week’s college football picks column was littered with teams at the bottom of The Action Network power ratings. UNLV, Rice and Wyoming headlined a card that went 6-3, proving there is money to be made on every FBS team, if an edge presents itself.

Handicapping the past two weeks have been about strength of schedule, along with a bloated market for teams excelling against the spread. Plus advanced metrics that point out certain weaknesses.

We discussed Ohio State’s issue giving up the big play, Wisconsin ranking 122nd in defensive line havoc, or Liberty ranking 38th in IsoPPP.

This column will leverage The Action Network power ratings and plenty of advanced stats from Football Outsiders.

Be sure to check out my Sunday Morning Coffee column for our Week 9 projected spreads. Let’s get to the picks!

YTD: 36-35-1


Subscribe, unsubscribe, rate, download twice and listen once to The Action Network Colleges Podcast.

All data below as of Friday morning. Download The Action Network App to get real-time odds, track your bets and follow all of our experts’ picks.


College Football Betting Picks, Week 9

South Florida at Houston

  • Spread: Houston -7.5
  • Over/Under: 75
  • Time: 3:30 p.m. ET
  • TV channel: ABC/ESPN2

Looking at the strength of schedule for these two teams is scary enough to wear as a mask at Halloween. The Cougars have played the 126th ranked schedule, while the Bulls ranks 129th out of 130.

It’s safe to say we will look for future fade spots when these two move up in class, but for this game, we’ll focus on something different. With future NFL top draft pick Ed Oliver possibly out, there should be plenty of points scored.

Both of these teams rank in the top 20 in explosiveness, but the underdog Bulls should be able to keep pace with the Cougars. South Florida is 24th on passing downs explosiveness, contrasting Houston’s rank of 103rd in defending passing downs.

Houston ranked 58th in sack rate with Oliver, but without him, the defensive line havoc rate of 56th will suffer, allowing South Florida to keep pace in this one.

Play On: South Florida +7.5

Middle Tennessee at Old Dominion

  • Spread: Old Dominion +4
  • Over/Under: 59
  • Time: 3:30 p.m. ET
  • TV channel: ESPN+

GET THE ACTION NETWORK EDGE

Unlock this article and see who’s betting what, all for less than the price of a stadium beer.

Be A Better Bettor

START MY FREE TRIAL

Already an EDGE member? Sign In

Credit:

USA TODAY Sports. Pictured: Charlie Strong, Kai Locksley and Kylin Hill

Follow Collin Wilson on Twitter
@_Collin1

Top Stories

THE ACTION NETWORK

Sign up for The Action Network free daily newsletter

The best sports betting trends, insights and news - condensed into a two-minute read.
Sign up today, thank us tomorrow.
Follow Us: @ActionNetworkHQ
Download the App
SCHEDULE
OPEN
CURR
# BETS
PSU
RUTG
48.5
+26
49.5
+27
MSU
NEB
49
+2
49
+2
IOWA
ILL
59
+15.5
58.5
+16
LIB
AUB
59.5
-28.5
59.5
-28.5
DUKE
CLEM
58
-27
57.5
-27.5
ARK
MSST
45.5
-18.5
46.5
-20.5
CIT
BAMA
--
--
--
--
MASS
UGA
62
-44
63
-44
OSU
MD
58
+17.5
58
+16.5
BC
FSU
49.5
+1
49
+2
IDHO
FLA
59
-39.5
59
-39.5
NCST
LOU
62.5
+14.5
63.5
+15
MTSU
UK
45
-13
45
-13.5
WVU
OKST
69.5
+5
71
+4.5
RICE
LSU
51
-44
51
-44
CIN
UCF
59.5
-8
59
-7.5
KU
OKLA
68
-34.5
68.5
-36
IND
MICH
53
-27.5
53.5
-27.5
ORST
WASH
57.5
-31
57.5
-33
ARIZ
WSU
60.5
-10
60.5
-10
ISU
TEX
51
-3
50.5
-3
SYR
ND
62.5
-10
62.5
-9
SDSU
FRES
45
-16
44
-15