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College Football Odds, Picks, Predictions for Colorado vs. Arizona State: Expect ASU to Run Away With Big Win (Sept. 25)

College Football Odds, Picks, Predictions for Colorado vs. Arizona State: Expect ASU to Run Away With Big Win (Sept. 25) article feature image

Christian Petersen/Getty Images. Pictured: Daniyel Ngata.

  • The Colorado Buffaloes face the Arizona State Sun Devils in late Pac-12 action on Saturday night.
  • Arizona State is coming off a tough loss to BYU, while Colorado recently got crushed by Minnesota.
  • Check out Doug Ziefel's betting guide for the Colorado vs. Arizona State game, complete with odds, picks, and predictions.

Colorado vs. Arizona State Odds

Colorado Odds+14
Arizona State Odds-14
Moneyline+460 / -650
Over/Under46 (-105 / -115)
Time10:30 p.m. ET
Odds via DraftKings. Get up-to-the-minute college football odds here.

This week's edition of Pac-12 After Dark features two teams coming off of bad losses.

The Colorado Buffaloes were run over by Minnesota, losing 30-0 in a game they were favored in. Their offense was nonexistent, and they had no answers for the Gophers run game.

They are desperately needing to regroup against Arizona State, but will they?

Speaking of another team losing as a home favorite, the Sun Devils suffered a disappointing loss to the surging BYU Cougars.

It was a game in which Arizona State just could not get out of its own way.  An uncharacteristic four turnovers and 16 penalties kept the Sun Devils from getting out of the hole they dug themselves into.

This Herm Edwards-led squad has a lot of potential, and the Buffaloes may see all of it as Arizona State aims to bounce back.

Colorado vs. Arizona State Betting Preview

Saturday, Sept. 25
10:30 p.m. ET

Colorado Buffaloes

Buffaloes Offense

This Colorado offense has been abysmal, and its matchup against Minnesota may have been rock bottom.

The Buffaloes are a run-centric offense, but they got literally nothing going. They record -19 yards rushing as a team. It was also not the day they got the passing game going, as they only had 82 yards through the air.

It was a stark contrast to how they performed against Texas A&M. The Buffs nearly pulled the massive upset then by controlling the game on the ground and taking advantage of the Aggies' backup quarterback.

This offense has had highs and lows but may be in for another troubling day against the Sun Devils

Buffaloes Defense

Against Minnesota, the Buffaloes defense did not help their offense as they were gashed on the ground. Minnesota racked up 277 yards at 5.3 yards a carry.

Now, they get to face an elite rushing offense that averages almost as many yards on the ground per game as the Colorado offense does in total.

Though credit is due to the Buffaloes defense as they have earned their spot as the 30th-best team in terms of Passing Success. They held the Aggies to 183 yards passing and a 47% completion percentage. However, we may not see many passing attempts in their upcoming matchup.

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Arizona State Sun Devils

Sun Devils Offense 

The Sun Devils have been an offensive force with their rushing attack this season. As a team, they average 224 yards per game.

A big factor in that has been freshman sensation Daniyel Ngata. He has been explosive and had that on full display against BYU, rushing for 82 yards and reaching paydirt on only eight carries. Ngata and senior Rachaad White are a 1-2 punch that could give the Buffaloes a lot of trouble.

Meanwhile, Jayden Daniels runs the offense. The junior quarterback is coming off his most efficient and successful performance this season. Though two passes went to the wrong team, Daniels completed 72% of his passes and put up a season-high 265 yards.

Daniels also is a big part of the Sun Devils' potent rushing attack. That is highlighted in his performance against UNLV in which he rushed for 125 yards.

The San Bernadino, California, native and the rest of offense should maintain much more success this week at home as they can communicate better and avoid the multiple false starts that factored into the loss against BYU.

Sun Devils Defense

This veteran Sun Devils defense has been stout so far this season, holding opponents to just 4.2 yards per play.

This unit does all the little things well, which is reflected in its national rankings. Arizona State ranks 18th in tackling and 30th in coverage. It also ranks 21st in Defensive Havoc, which may allow it to wreak more Havoc against the Buffaloes offensive line.

Colorado vs. Arizona State Matchup Analysis

Toggle the dropdowns below to hide or show how Colorado and Arizona State match up statistically:

Colorado Offense vs. Arizona State Defense




Rush Success5549
Line Yards8975
Pass Success12723
Pass Blocking**11024
Big Play11034
Finishing Drives5957
**Pass Blocking (Off.) vs. Pass Rush (Def.)

Arizona State Offense vs. Colorado Defense




Rush Success239
Line Yards556
Pass Success7030
Pass Blocking**5114
Big Play585
Finishing Drives5732
**Pass Blocking (Off.) vs. Pass Rush (Def.)

Pace of Play / Other
PFF Tackling11418
PFF Coverage8130
Middle 88936
SP+ Special Teams953
Plays per Minute86119
Rush Rate62.8% (25)61.2% (32)

Data via College Football Data, FootballOutsiders, SP+, PFF and SportSource Analytics.

Arizona State holds the advantage in what will be a war waged on the ground. The Sun Devils should be able to run all over the Buffaloes and be in total control of this game.

On the defensive side of the ball, expect Arizona State to key in on the run, as the Colorado passing game has been feeble to date.

Colorado vs. Arizona State Betting Pick

This number has hovered around 14 since it opened, and the Sun Devils should cover it.

The Buffaloes are going to have all sorts of trouble on both sides of the ball. Arizona St. is expected to double up Colorado if you look at the expected team totals.

The Sun Devils will outdo that expectation and blow out Colorado.

Pick: Arizona State -14.5

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