Colorado State vs. Hawaii College Football Odds, Picks, Preview: How to Bet Total in Saturday’s Late-Night Game

Colorado State vs. Hawaii College Football Odds, Picks, Preview: How to Bet Total in Saturday’s Late-Night Game article feature image
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  • Colorado State and Hawaii close out the college football slate for Saturday.
  • Counter to popular belief, the Rainbow Warriors have hit the under in 14 of their last 17 games.
  • Alex Kolodziej breaks down the betting action in the matchup below.

Colorado State vs. Hawaii Odds

Saturday, Nov. 20
11 p.m. ET
Spectrum
Colorado State Odds
Spread Total Moneyline
-2.5
-115
54
-110o / -110u
-135
Hawaii Odds
Spread Total Moneyline
+2.5
-105
54
-110o / -110u
+115
Odds via DraftKings. Get up-to-the-minute college football odds here.

After Week 12, bettors no longer have the luxury of scanning the college football board at 11 p.m. ET on Saturday night, looking for a bailout play.

Saturday’s nightcap between Colorado State and Hawaii is the final late kick on the island in 2021.

If that’s not a kick in the you-know-what, I’m not sure what is.

The Rams are laying chalk on the road, despite just a 3-7 record in 2021. The Rainbow Warriors, meanwhile, are 4-7 and looking to close the season out on a bright note.

Here’s how I’d bet the final game on Saturday’s card.


Colorado State Rams

CSU peaked in late September, winning four straight games against the spread and covering all four by at least 14 points.

The Rams have faltered since.

They enter Saturday’s game as losers of four straight, both outright and against the number. They’ve been spotty as favorites, going just 2-4, with all four losses straight-up.

Colorado State welcomed shootouts in the Mike Bobo era. But under Steve Addazio, the strength of the team is the defense.

The Rams are top-30 nationally in both Rush and Pass Success while grading out as one of the better tackling programs in the Group of Five.

Overall, they’ve gone under the total in eight straight games against the teams with losing records and eight of the last 11 when laying chalk.

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Hawaii Rainbow Warriors

Did Hawaii call it a season after beating Fresno State as an 11.5-point underdog back in Week 5?

Similar to the Rams, the Rainbow Warriors come into Saturday limping. They’ve yet to cover a game since the aforementioned upset, going 0-4-1 against the spread and 1-4 overall across the last five.

The offense, in particular, has scuffled, failing to score more than 31 points in four of those.

Todd Graham’s unit likes to chuck, ranking top-20 nationally in pass rate. However, the production has been spotty. Despite the heavy volume, the Rainbow Warriors rank just 97th in Pass Success.

Hawaii has played four games as a home ‘dog in 2021. The under has cashed in all four, with no total surpassing 54 combined points.


Colorado State vs. Hawaii Matchup Analysis

Toggle the dropdowns below to hide or show how Colorado State and Hawaii match up statistically:

Colorado State Offense vs. Hawaii Defense
Offense
Defense
Edge
Rush Success 103 62
Line Yards 77 42
Pass Success 72 101
Pass Blocking** 103 37
Big Play 88 49
Havoc 14 70
Finishing Drives 114 17
** Pass Blocking (Off.) vs. Pass Rush (Def.)

Hawaii Offense vs. Colorado State Defense
Offense
Defense
Edge
Rush Success 63 30
Line Yards 61 58
Pass Success 97 3
Pass Blocking** 35 13
Big Play 41 46
Havoc 123 77
Finishing Drives 110 56
** Pass Blocking (Off.) vs. Pass Rush (Def.)

Pace of Play / Other
PFF Tackling 29 72
Coverage 27 109
Middle 8 86 115
SP+ Special Teams 46 1
Plays per Minute 12 17
Rush Rate 57.3% (51) 47.8% (111)

Data via College Football Data, FootballOutsiders, SP+, PFF and SportSource Analytics.


Colorado State vs. Hawaii Betting Pick

I expect points to be at a premium Saturday.

Hawaii was once synonymous with overs, but the trend has seemingly flipped — the Rainbow Warriors are quietly 14-3 to the under in their last 17 conference games.

Not only is Hawaii’s passing game outmatched by a stout secondary Saturday, it’ll also battle the wind.

Forecasts are calling for 15 MPH gusts on the island, which fits one of our top-rated betting total systems in Week 12.

Pick: Under 54 (Play to 52.5)

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