College Football Odds, Picks, Predictions for Georgia vs. Vanderbilt: How To Bet This SEC Duel

College Football Odds, Picks, Predictions for Georgia vs. Vanderbilt: How To Bet This SEC Duel article feature image
Credit:

Sean Gardner/Getty Images. Pictured: Kirby Smart.

  • Georgia faces Vanderbilt in its second SEC game of the season.
  • The Bulldogs are coming off a win over South Carolina, and have also beaten Clemson this season.
  • Alex Kolodziej breaks down this matchup and provides his best bet.

Georgia vs. Vanderbilt Odds

Georgia Odds -36 (-105)
Vanderbilt Odds +36 (-115)
Moneyline -10000 / +2000
Over/Under 54.5 (-115 / -105)
Time 12 p.m. ET
TV SEC Network
Odds via BetMGM. Get up-to-the-minute college football odds here.

The Georgia Bulldogs are going to beat the Vanderbilt Commodores on Saturday. It’s just a matter of how many points head coach Kirby Smart wants to win by.

The SEC powerhouse has put on a clinic out of the gates, pulling off an upset win over Clemson in Week 1 before smashing UAB and South Carolina.

If Saturday follows script, Vanderbilt Stadium could be empty by halftime.

The Commodores owned the lowest preseason win total in the SEC (3) and are the second-worst Power Five team in The Action Network’s Power Ratings.

Georgia’s 2-1 against the spread this season and owns the second-shortest title odds (+335) in the entire nation. The only thing holding it back from another blowout win is if Smart both figuratively, and literally, calls off the Dawgs.


Georgia vs. Vanderbilt Betting Preview

Saturday, Sept. 25
12 p.m. ET
SEC Network

Georgia Bulldogs

Georgia Offense

Georgia didn’t register an offensive touchdown since its second snap of Week 2.

Since then, it’s been a pure demolition between the hedges.

Although the Bulldogs are in the back half of the country in Rushing Success and just 60th nationally in Passing Success, they’ve cooked up four touchdowns of 40 yards or longer over the last two weeks.

Quarterback J.T. Daniels was 14-1 in the preseason to win the Heisman after lighting it up last year. He was quiet in the opener against Clemson and sat in Week 2 due to a core injury.

Backup Stetson Bennett filled in nicely against UAB (10-of-12, 288 yards and five touchdowns) before Daniels returned last week to throw three touchdowns versus the Gamecocks.

Smart acknowledged the passing game’s timing and spacing has been better than the rush for the Bulldogs, who have yet to really get Zamir White and others going.

Perhaps the head coach and offensive coordinator Todd Monken will give that department some action in a game they’re projected to win by more than five touchdowns.


Georgia Defense

South Carolina head coach Shane Beamer isn’t going to win many games in Columbia — at least off the bat.

I vote he gets AP Coach of the Year for admitting what every other SEC head man won’t following the 27-point loss to Georgia.

Shane Beamer on Georgia (in a nutshell):

"They have like 100 five-star football players on their defense, they have a DL that weighs 340 LBS and runs better than everybody on this call, they're really freakin good." 😅 @WLTX #Gamecocks pic.twitter.com/u3HIRN7QEf

— Chandler Mack (@chandlerdmack) September 19, 2021

 

“Really freakin’ good” is putting it lightly. Georgia ranks fourth in the country in yards per play allowed (3.5) and the best in Finishing Drives. The rush defense has yet to give up one explosive play.

The batch of blue chips typically has the upper hand against most SEC offenses, so prepping for Vanderbilt’s should be a walk in the park.

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Vanderbilt Commodores

Vanderbilt Offense

The unit was as bad as advertised in the opener, failing to find the end zone in a 23-3 loss to East Tennessee State. Vandy had a chance to pad the numbers against Colorado State and Stanford before opening SEC play but enters Week 4 averaging just 16.7 points per game.

The Commodores are 100th or worse in both Passing and Rushing Success Rate. Their 4.4 yards per play is tied for the fifth-worst clip among Power Five programs.

To make matters worse, starting running back Re’Mahn Davis is out for the season with a toe injury. He recorded 44 rushes for 238 yards and one touchdown in 2021.


Vanderbilt Defense

Stanford did whatever it wanted against Vanderbilt last weekend, posting north of 200 yards both through the air and on the ground.

Quarterback Tanner McKee completed 19-of-29 attempts with two scores, while the running game posted 7.6 yards per clip with three more touchdowns.

This is a tough rebuild for head coach Clark Lea, who’s one of the top Havoc creators in football. His defensive line earned rave reviews during the offseason and could potentially anchor the unit down the road.

However, he’s still helping the unit transition from Derek Mason’s 3-4/4-3 hybrid to more of a 4-2-5 look this season. Vanderbilt is still very much in a learning phase — not the type of outlook you want against an offense that can simply line up and jam it down your throat on every snap.


Georgia vs. Vanderbilt Matchup Analysis

Toggle the dropdowns below to hide or show how Georgia and Vanderbilt match up statistically:

Georgia Offense vs. Vanderbilt Defense

Offense

Defense

Edge

Rush Success
72
108
Line Yards
69
124
Pass Success
60
101
Pass Blocking**
31
69
Big Play
31
109
Havoc
32
101
Finishing Drives
96
65
**Pass Blocking (Off.) vs. Pass Rush (Def.)

Vanderbilt Offense vs. Georgia Defense

Offense

Defense

Edge

Rush Success
100
18
Line Yards
84
26
Pass Success
111
12
Pass Blocking**
116
6
Big Play
125
18
Havoc
20
34
Finishing Drives
100
1
**Pass Blocking (Off.) vs. Pass Rush (Def.)

Pace of Play / Other
PFF Tackling
2
100
PFF Coverage
1
106
Middle 8
5
119
SP+ Special Teams
82
84
Plays per Minute
95
20
Rush Rate
53.5% (73)
47.1% (107)

Data via College Football Data, FootballOutsiders, SP+, PFF and SportSource Analytics.
 

Georgia is elite. Vanderbilt is not. The Bulldogs have the edge in virtually every category, save for Havoc and Finishing Drives.

Georgia rolls, but it’s the total I’m interested in.


Georgia vs. Vanderbilt Betting Pick

Both Georgia’s running game and Vanderbilt’s inability to contribute on the scoreboard are two big reasons why the under is the play in this game.

The Bulldogs’ four-headed monster of White, Kendall Milton, James Cook and Kenny McIntosh have averaged a modest 5.0 yards per carry with just three touchdowns combined. I’d expect Smart to give the backfield plenty of run and keep the playbook bland before conference play heats up next week.

Vanderbilt’s offense, meanwhile, would consider crossing midfield multiple times a resounding success. Along with East Tennessee State, the Commodores have played Stanford and Colorado State, who rank 86th and 67th in SP+ defense.

Georgia’s No. 1. Good luck with that.

Pick: Under 53 (Play to 52)

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