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Saturday’s slate offers loads of value with No. 12 Ohio State hosting No. 23 Oregon, Alabama traveling to LSU in a heavyweight SEC rivalry, and Oklahoma heading to Florida; there’s a great lineup of games to add to your betting card.
I’ve pinpointed three player props for Saturday, including picks for Ohio State’s Isaiah West, Alabama’s Ryan Coleman-Williams, and Oklahoma’s John Mateer.
With that said, let's dive into my top three college football player props and NCAAF picks for Week 10 on Saturday, Nov. 7.
College Football Player Props, Picks
- Isaiah West Over 39.5 Rushing Yards (+110 · Hard Rock)
- Ryan Coleman-Williams Over 47.5 Receiving Yards (-115 · bet365)
- John Mateer Over 190.5 Passing Yards (-115 · bet365)
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Isaiah West Over 39.5 Rushing Yards (+110)
Isaiah West has moved into a bigger role at the right time. With Ja’Kobi Jackson sidelined by a Lisfranc injury and not expected back until the Michigan game, the sophomore has become Ohio State’s primary change-of-pace back behind Bo Jackson.
His workload has grown with it. West carried six times for 45 yards at Indiana and then a season-high 13 times for 65 yards at USC, which adds up to 110 yards on 19 carries over the last two games, or 5.8 per carry. He needs only about eight or nine touches at his season rate of 4.6 yards a carry to get to 40.
The matchup and game script are favorable. Ohio State is a touchdown-plus favorite at home, and Oregon’s defense gave up 456 yards and 26 points to Northwestern last week and 123 rushing yards to Illinois’s Aidan Laughery the week before.
With a freshman quarterback in Luke Fahey making his second start, Ohio State’s plan is to lean on the ground game, and the Buckeyes’ offense is built to keep the ball and shorten the game. A lead late means more carries for the backups, and Oregon will also be without leading rusher Jordon Davison, which should put more pressure on Raiola and the passing game and give Ohio State’s defense a clearer read.
At +110, you’re getting plus money on a number West cleared in each of his last two games. He has a limited role as the No. 2 back, but with USC’s physical run game showing how to attack Oregon’s front and Ohio State committed to the run, a double-digit carry total is realistic.
Pick: Isaiah West Over 39.5 Rushing Yards (+110)Â
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Ryan Coleman-Williams Over 47.5 Receiving Yards (-115)
Ryan Coleman-Williams is Alabama’s most explosive receiver, and the number reflects a player who is expected to come back. Before his knee injury, he was producing at a high level, with 23 catches for 415 yards and four touchdowns in six games, an 18-yard average per catch.
He cleared 47.5 in three of those six, with games of 130, 62, and 98 yards, and the other three were 43, 43, and 39, all within about eight yards of this line.
The junior captain has missed two games after arthroscopic knee surgery, but the bye week gave him extra time, and coach Kalen DeBoer said he is hopeful he’ll be ready for LSU.
The game script should push Alabama toward the air. LSU’s run defense is the best in the SEC at about 85 yards a game, and Alabama managed just 122 rushing yards across its last two games, so the Crimson Tide’s path to staying in this one is through quarterback Keelon Russell.
Alabama is a five-and-a-half-point underdog in a game with a total above 52, and LSU’s offense averages 40 points a game, which means Alabama will likely need to keep scoring. Russell has already shown he can find his receivers without Coleman-Williams, as Rico Scott went for 156 yards against Texas A&M, and adding a big-play target back into that mix gives him a high-upside option.
He’s also a threat who turns short throws into long gains, with a 58-yard catch against East Carolina and a 46-yarder against Florida State. He needs only a few catches to get there, and with LSU’s strength on the ground, he should see enough targets in a pass-heavy script.
Pick: Ryan Coleman-Williams Over 47.5 Receiving Yards (-115)
John Mateer Over 190.5 Passing Yards (-115)
John Mateer’s passing floor has been steadier than his reputation, and bet365’s number is the lowest on the board. He has cleared 190.5 in six of eight games this season, with 225, 238, 231, 270, 283, and 244 yards. That’s an average of about 229 a game, and the two misses were 189 and 155.
Other books have this line between 199.5 and 203.5, so the 190.5 here gives you roughly 10 yards of cushion. Our PRO Projections have him closer to 242.
Oklahoma’s offense runs through his arm. The Sooners’ ground game has been inefficient all season, and Mateer’s own rushing has been minimal, so Oklahoma has asked him to throw 40 or more times in two of its last three games, including 43 attempts against South Carolina last week. Oklahoma is also a touchdown underdog, and trailing teams throw more.
Florida’s pass defense gives him room. The Gators allow about 236 passing yards a game at seven yards per attempt, and they have given up 271 to Byrum Brown, 298 to Trinidad Chambliss, and 279 to LaNorris Sellers.
Florida’s strength is its pass rush and secondary, but Mateer also comes off a 283-yard, two-touchdown game at Mississippi State, which showed what he can do with clean pockets. The change at offensive coordinator, with Jason Witten calling plays, is also a chance for new energy and a refreshed game plan.
Pick: John Mateer Over 190.5 Passing Yards (-115)
