College Football Windy Weather & Odds: Forecasts To Know for Betting Saturday, Including Baylor vs. Texas Tech (Nov. 14)


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  • How will windy weather affect games on Saturday's college football slate -- and just how many games will it affect?
  • Wisconsin vs. Michigan and Baylor vs. Texas Tech are both among the games with forecasts for bettors to note.
  • Danny Donahue uses our Windy Unders PRO System to find the games to keep an eye on, and provides their odds changes below.

It’s not much of a secret that weather can affect the outcome of a football game. And as such, it shouldn’t come as a surprise that oddsmakers often shift lines on account of game conditions.

However, what might not be as well known is just how much weather — and in particular, wind — matters. Thankfully, we have a database that can tell us exactly that.

Since 2005, college football games played in winds of 13+ mph have hit the under at a 56.5% rate on a sample of more than 1,000 games (558-430-34).

And while it diminishes the sample, bumping the threshold up to 17+ mph, accordingly, increases the win rate to 59.1%. Pushing up to 20+ mph games returns a 64.5% clip.

And considering those are win rates that would make any professional bettor happy, you might be curious as to which of Saturday’s games fit the bill. So, let’s take a look.

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College Football Windy Weather Forecasts

Odds, forecasts as of 8 a.m. ET Saturday.

Fresno State vs. Utah State

2:30 p.m. ET | FS2 | Logan, Utah

  • Projected wind speeds: 13 to 16 mph
  • O/U open to current: 55.5 to 52.5

Baylor vs. Texas Tech

4 p.m. ET | FS1 | Lubbock, Texas

  • Projected wind speeds: 19 to 24 mph
  • O/U open to current: 59.5 to 56

Northwestern vs. Purdue

5 p.m. ET | BTN | West Lafayette, Ill.

  • Projected wind speeds: 15 to 18 mph
  • O/U open to current: 49 to 49.5

SMU vs. Tulsa

7 p.m. ET | ESPN2 | Tulsa, Okla.

  • Projected wind speeds: 14 to 17 mph
  • O/U open to current: 63 to 64.5

Wisconsin vs. Michigan

7:30 p.m. ET | ABC | Ann Arbor, Mich.

  • Projected wind speeds: 12 to 17 mph
  • O/U open to current: 50.5 to 52.5

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