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College Football Weather, Betting Odds: Windy Forecasts for 7 Games, Including Florida vs. Georgia (Saturday, Nov. 7)


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It’s not much of a secret that weather can affect the outcome of a football game. And as such, it shouldn’t come as a surprise that oddsmakers often shift lines on account of game conditions.

However, what might not be as well known is just how much weather — and in particular, wind — matters. Thankfully, we have a database that can tell us exactly that.

Since 2005, college football games played in winds of 13+ mph have hit the under at a 56.6% rate on a sample of more than 1,000 games (552-424-34).

And while it diminishes the sample, bumping the threshold up to 17+ mph, accordingly, increases the win rate to 59.1%. Pushing up to 20+ mph games returns a 64.5% clip.

And considering those are win rates that would make any professional bettor happy, you might be curious as to which of Saturday’s games fit the bill. So, let’s take a look:

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College Football Windy Weather Forecasts

Odds, forecasts as of 11 a.m. ET.

Michigan State vs. Iowa

12 p.m. ET | ESPN | Iowa City, Iowa

  • Projected wind speeds: 9 to 16 mph
  • O/U open to current: 46.5 to 46.5

Troy vs. Georgia Southern

1 p.m. ET | ESPN3 | Statesboro, Ga.

  • Projected wind speeds: 13 to 14 mph
  • O/U open to current: 52 to 52.5

Florida vs. Georgia

3:30 p.m. ET | CBS | Jacksonville, Fla.

  • Projected wind speeds: 12 to 14 mph
  • O/U open to current: 54 to 54.5

Unlock the PRO Report to see how sharps are betting Oklahoma State vs. Kansas State. 

Oklahoma State vs. Kansas State

4 p.m. ET | FOX | Manhattan, Kan.

  • Projected wind speeds: 18 to 22 mph
  • O/U open to current: 51 to 47.5

Western Kentucky vs. Florida Atlantic

6 p.m. ET | STADIUM | Boca Raton, Fla.

  • Projected wind speeds: 22 to 23 mph
  • O/U open to current: 41 to 38.5

Baylor vs. Iowa State

7 p.m. ET | FS1 | Ames, Iowa

  • Projected wind speeds: 17 to 18 mph
  • O/U open to current: 53 to 47

New Mexico vs. Hawaii

11 p.m. ET | Spectrum | Honolulu, Hawaii

  • Projected wind speeds: 13 mph
  • O/U open to current: 59.5 to 64.5

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