The Georgia Bulldogs take on the Ole Miss Rebels in Oxford, Mississippi, on Saturday, Nov. 7. Kickoff is set for 7:30 p.m. ET on ABC.
Georgia is favored by -3.5 points on the spread with a moneyline of -170. Ole Miss, meanwhile, enters as a +3.5 underdog and is +142 on the moneyline to pull off the upset. The over/under sits at 56.5 total points.
Here’s my Georgia vs. Ole Miss prediction and college football pick for Saturday, November 7.
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Georgia vs Ole Miss Prediction, Picks
- Georgia vs. Ole Miss Pick: Georgia -3.5
My Ole Miss vs. Georgia best bet is on the Dawgs to cover the spread as road favorites. Find the best line available on our live NCAAF odds page.
Georgia vs Ole Miss Odds, Spread, Lines
| Georgia Odds | ||
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Total | Moneyline |
-3.5 -110 | 56.5 -110o / -110u | -180 |
| Ole Miss Odds | ||
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Total | Moneyline |
+3.5 -110 | 56.5 -110o / -110u | +150 |
- Georgia vs Ole Miss Spread: Georgia -3.5, Ole Miss +3.5
- Georgia vs Ole Miss Over/Under: 56.5 Points
- Georgia vs Ole Miss Moneyline: Georgia ML -180, Ole Miss ML +150
Georgia vs Ole Miss NCAAF Preview
Georgia Bulldogs Betting Preview
Head coach Kirby Smart was seeking a get-healthy game for Georgia after a loss to Auburn. The Bulldogs executed against Florida, as the defense limited the Gators to no methodical or explosive drives.
Florida gained only half of the national average in available yards, was stuffed on over half of 24 rushing attempts and was limited to converting just 4-of-12 attempts on third down.
Defensive coordinator Glenn Schumann has a top-20 defense in nearly every category, including a mark of 19th in pass rush.
Georgia sends one of the lowest numbers of defenders on blitzes, typically utilizing just four defenders. The success of sending only four rushers allows at least seven other players to drop into coverage.
Offensively, quarterback Gunner Stockton rebounded from three turnovers against Auburn and didn't fumble or throw an interception against Florida.
Stockton has created just five turnover-worthy plays this season, all coming in two games against Alabama and Auburn.
Both the Crimson Tide and Tigers play a heavy amount of Cover 3, a concept Stockton has produced a modest 52% Success Rate against with a minimal negative EPA.
Georgia may not have issues pushing the ball downfield, as Ole Miss has mid-FBS success with quarters and a low 42% pivoting to Cover 3.
Ole Miss Rebels Betting Preview
The absence of star running back Kewan Lacy was not an issue for Ole Miss, who dominated Auburn in Week 9 with three rushing touchdowns.
Makhi Frazier continues to get more attempts with his 5.3 yards per carry, but Shekai Mills-Knight busted out in only his second appearance of the season. The sophomore accounted for a rushing touchdown with three gains over 10 yards and has a season total of 4.5 yards after first contact.
Quarterback Trinidad Chambliss also continued his Heisman campaign, adding another three touchdowns to an all-purpose total of 25 on the season.
Despite the low score, Auburn found a way to push the ball down the field on the Ole Miss defense. In 11 offensive possessions, the Tigers accumulated three explosive drives and four methodical drives while averaging 4.5 overall yards per play.
Where Ole Miss played the best defense was in the red zone, as four Auburn trips resulted in just a single touchdown. The Rebels have shown the ability to stop the rush against opponents this season, ranking top-20 in Stuff Rate.
Ole Miss continues to struggle in several defensive areas, from pass coverage to tackling and allowing explosives on passing downs.
Georgia vs Ole Miss College Football Pick
There are a number of reasons to believe the Ole Miss defense won't have success in stopping Georgia. The Rebels sit outside the top 100 in penalties and third-down defense, a massive issue for a unit that's 119th in passing down explosives allowed.
The best attribute of the Ole Miss defense comes against the run, but the Rebels have yet to face an inside zone attack that uses 12 personnel like Georgia.
Man blocking assignments have been led by running back Nate Frazier, who's fully healed from a rib injury and averaged 5.6 yards per carry against Auburn. Ole Miss has been putrid against man blocking with a low 43% Success Rate.
Containing Chambliss is priority No. 1 for Georgia.
Schumann called defense against Ole Miss twice last season, allowing 44 yards in scrambles. Georgia solved the Chambliss question in a playoff loss, keeping the Ole Miss quarterback from a single scramble. He totaled just 14 yards on designed run calls.
Chambliss was assisted by season highs in receiving from both Harrison Wallace III and De'Zhaun Stribling. Ellis Robinson IV has been a shutdown cornerback for the Bulldogs this season and is sure to draw the assignment against Deuce Alexander.
Keep tabs on Robinson after a knee injury against Florida, but Smart indicated the news was positive for the corner this week.
Action Network's Betting Power Ratings call for Georgia to be a 7.5-point favorite, well ahead of a market favoring the Bulldogs by just 3.5.
The Ole Miss defense will be tasked with facing run concepts using a two-tight-end set while overproducing season-average numbers on third downs.
Georgia looked healthy in a demolition of Florida after the bye week, resolving any lingering injury issues with Frazier and Stockton.
The biggest question is whether or not Chambliss will be allowed to generate first downs on scrambles while connecting downfield.
Georgia contained the Chambliss scrambles in the SEC Championship but must show why it's 11th overall in coverage to beat Ole Miss.
Pick: Georgia -3.5
