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The Missouri Tigers take on the Georgia Bulldogs in Athens, Ga. Kickoff is set for 3:30 p.m. EST on ABC.
Georgia is favored by 15.5 points on the spread with a moneyline of -800. The total is set at 47.5 points.
Here’s my Missouri vs. Georgia prediction and college football pick for Saturday, November 14, 2026.
Missouri vs Georgia Prediction
- Missouri vs. Georgia Pick: Georgia -15.5 (Play to -17)
My Georgia vs. Missouri best bet is on the Bulldogs to cover the spread. Find the best line available on our live NCAAF odds page.
Missouri vs Georgia Odds
| Missouri Odds | ||
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Total | Moneyline |
+15.5 -110 | 47.5 -105o / -115u | +570 |
| Georgia Odds | ||
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Total | Moneyline |
-15.5 -110 | 47.5 -105o / -115u | -800 |
- Missouri vs Georgia point spread: Georgia -15.5 (-110), Missouri +15.5 (-110)
- Missouri vs Georgia over/under: 47.5 (-105o / -115u)
- Missouri vs Georgia moneyline: Missouri +570, Georgia -800
Missouri vs Georgia College Football Preview
Missouri Tigers Betting Preview: Subverting Expectations
Heading into the year, expectations were low for Missouri, with question marks lingering over both sides of the ball.
Nine games in, the Tigers are just one win away from clearing the over on their regular-season win total while sitting at No. 22 in the latest college football playoff rankings.
Austin Simmons' resurgence under center has played a major role in Missouri’s success this year, leading an offense that ranks 58th nationally in Pass Success Rate, 35th in PPA, and 27th in Explosiveness. Not only has Simmons consistently connected with his pass catchers, but he's also done a great job taking care of the ball, throwing just two picks across nine games.
Unfortunately for Simmons, Jamal Roberts hasn't given the offense the versatility it needs to be a well-rounded unit, limping into Saturday ranked outside the top 90 nationally in Rush Success Rate and Rush Explosiveness. With Roberts struggling to pull defensive attention to the box, opposing linebackers can anchor in coverage, narrowing Simmons passing lanes.
On the other side of the ball, Missouri has been consistent on defense, ranking well above the national average in EPA per Play allowed, Defensive Finishing Drives, and Havoc.
Until the Tigers can round back into competitive form on offense, the defense will need to continue to play at a high level to help reduce the amount of variance in their favor, an unsustainable style of play against the Bulldogs.
Georgia Bulldogs Betting Preview: Ruling Supreme
Since the start of the regular season, Georgia has built a strong case for being the best team in the nation, comfortably leading the field in Collin Wilson’s Power Ratings while steadily pulling away at the top of the odds board for the National Championship.
Defeat to Auburn aside, the Bulldogs have been dominant, putting themselves in a great position to run away with the top overall seed in the playoffs.
In his second year as Georgia's starter, Gunner Stockton has shredded opposing secondaries with his arm, averaging 9.5 yards per attempt while completing over 70% of his passes. Stockton’s dual-threat ability has also been on full display, averaging 4.4 yards per carry while punching in two touchdowns on the ground.
With Stockton playing at a high level, the Bulldogs have been efficient, hovering in the top five nationally in Success Rate and in Finishing Drives while ranking 15th in Havoc Allowed. Georgia has still struggled to generate explosive plays, relying on methodical drives to stay ahead of the sticks and making them prone to stalling out when matched up against a defense that can create disruptions on the shortened field.
Speaking of defense, the Bulldogs have consistently held opponents out of scoring position this season, ranking 10th in Defensive Finishing Drives with an average of 2.52 Points per Opportunity allowed. The Bulldogs' star cornerback Ellis Robinson IV went down with an injury at the end of last week’s game against Ole Miss, making his status worth monitoring for the team's season-long outlook.
Missouri vs Georgia Pick, Betting Analysis
Whether Robinson IV suits up or not, it’s tough to envision how Missouri will move the ball against Georgia without the versatility needed to attack the second level.
Even with Simmons exceeding expectations, the lack of production in Missouri's run game should let the Bulldogs drop more bodies into coverage, making it harder to throw over the top.
When held to an early out, the Tigers will struggle to get Stockton off the field while trying to bottle up an offense that leads the nation in Standard Downs Success Rate. By consistently chipping away at the line to gain, the Bulldogs' probability of converting on later downs improves, leading to more trips inside the red zone.
While in scoring position, Stockton’s running ability will force Missouri to anchor its linebackers on the edge to neutralize his legs, creating wider running lanes in the middle for Nate Frazier to exploit. Once behind on the scoreboard, the Tigers will need to be more aggressive through the air to keep pace, which should lead to an uptick in Simmons' total number of Turnover-Worthy Plays.
If you missed out on the key number of Georgia -14, do not fret. There's still some meat left on the bone, making Georgia worth a wager to cover the spread at -17 or better.
Pick: Georgia -15.5 (Play to -17)
