Washington vs. Oregon Betting Odds & Prediction: Our Staff’s Spread & Over/Under Best Bets
Getty Images. Design by Matt Roembke/Action Network. Pictured: Oregon quarterback Bo Nix (left) and Washington quarterback Michael Penix Jr. (right).
Washington vs. Oregon Odds
| Oregon Odds | ||
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Total | Moneyline |
+3 -105 | 67 -110o / -110u | +140 |
| Washington Odds | ||
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Total | Moneyline |
-3 -115 | 67 -110o / -110u | -160 |
The No. 8 Oregon Ducks will flock north to face the No. 7 Washington Huskies as the two undefeated teams meet at Husky Stadium on Saturday afternoon in Seattle.
This marquee matchup will be the 115th meeting between the two schools, and ESPN's College GameDay will be onsite for the final Pac-12 matchup between the two before they move to the Big Ten.
Washington leads the all-time series between the two programs, 61-48-5 (53.5%) and has gone 30-21-2 (56.6%) in Seattle. Considered the most heated rivalry in the Pacific Northwest, the stage is set for a great game between two of the best offenses in the Pac-12.
The Huskies are led by quarterback Michael Penix Jr., who has completed 74.7% of his passes this season for 1,999 yards (399.8 per game), 16 touchdowns and two interceptions. Behind Penix, Washington ranks 11th nationally in offense, per PFF.
The Oregon offense is quarterbacked by Bo Nix, who has gotten off to an excellent start as well. The Auburn transfer has thrown for 1,459 yards, 15 touchdowns and one interception with an 80.4% completion percentage. Nix has helped lead the Ducks offense to a ranking of fourth nationally, according to PFF.
It's worth noting that Oregon has a strength of schedule of just 122nd, per PFF, whereas Washington’s is 17th. Both quarterbacks are Heisman frontrunners, and the win here will likely go to the team that has the better-performing signal-caller.
The weather looks great for kickoff, and both teams are nearly at full health as they're coming off of bye weeks.
We should be in for a great clash between two top-10 teams that will have massive implications for the Pac-12 Championship and College Football Playoff races.
Washington vs. Oregon Spread
Washington -3
The staff is close to 50/50 on this game, and rightfully so. This game is very much a coin-flip that could go either way.
Both teams can put up points, and the difference will be which defense performs well enough to get a few stops.
This Oregon defense ranks 17th in Success Rate and 17th in explosiveness. Washington’s defense has been significantly worse, ranking 81st overall in Success Rate.
Michael Penix Jr. has had an amazing year thus far, leading the Huskies to some of the top offensive marks in the country. However, Bo Nix and the Ducks are right behind them at No. 2 overall.
Bucky Irving and Jordan James both average nearly eight yards per carry for the Ducks, and the Huskies run defense ranks 115th in Defensive Rushing Success Rate. The Ducks should be able to run all over this team even in a hostile environment on the road.
However, the Huskies’ ability to limit the big play defensively — they rank 12th overall in explosiveness allowed — should be enough to make some key stops against this potent Oregon offense. This will prevent the Ducks from winning by multiple scores.
While the Washington defense has some holes our staff is trusting in Penix, his elite receiving corps and the home-field advantage at Husky Stadium.
Washington vs. Oregon Over/Under
Over 67 | 11 Picks |
Pass | 1 Pick |
Under 67 | 3 Picks |
Over 67
By Cody Goggin
It’s not hard to see why 11 of our 14 staff members prefer the over in this matchup between two of the top offenses in college football.
Oregon ranks second in Success Rate and Finishing Drives this season. It's also the third-best team in Havoc Allowed, giving quarterback Bo Nix plenty of time to throw and avoid mistakes.
The Ducks are top-five both through the air and on the ground. They rank fifth in Passing Success Rate and 20th in Passing PPA while sitting second in Rushing Success Rate and first in Rushing PPA Allowed.
Oregon throws the ball at the 27th-highest rate in FBS, while Washington passes at the ninth-highest rate. These two teams will be throwing the ball all over the yard, leading to even more clock stoppages late in each half and more chances to score.
While Oregon’s second-place ranking in Success Rate is impressive, Washington had just had to one-up its rival. The Huskies lead the country in overall Success Rate, coming in at second through the air and 10th on the ground.
Michael Penix Jr. is putting up Heisman-worthy numbers to this point, completing 74% of his passes for 1,999 yards with 16 touchdowns and just two interceptions. Penix has also been kept fairly clean, getting sacked only three times the entire year. This has led to him posting an outstanding EPA per Dropback mark of 0.46.
When these two great offenses face off in Seattle this weekend, expect plenty of fireworks and for these stellar units to take this game over the total of 67 points.
More Ways to Bet Washington vs. Oregon
By Alex Hinton
As you’ve already read, our staff likes the over in this game. It's easy to see why with two quarterbacks among the top three in Heisman odds. However, when it comes to prop betting, there's more value on the pass-catchers.
This game features the Pac-12’s top three leading receivers in terms of yards per game — and that doesn't include Washington's Jalen McMillan, who doesn't qualify because he missed two games.
However, I'm backing the lone Oregon Duck on that list in Troy Franklin.
The junior has built on a strong sophomore campaign in which he led the Ducks with 61 receptions for 891 yards and nine touchdowns. This season, he's averaging 107.4 receiving yards per game, which ranks second in the Pac-12.
He has hit this line in four of his first five games this season. Plus, in the lone game he went under, he finished with 83 yards in a 55-10 victory over Hawaii in which he did not play in the fourth quarter.
Franklin is a big-play threat who averages 16.7 yards per catch. With that average, five or six catches should net him 90 yards. He's had six catches in four games this year and has recorded over 100 yards in each one.
Franklin also posted 139 receiving yards against Washington last season. This year, the Huskies rank 92nd in passing yards allowed at 243.4 per game.
If you like Franklin to repeat his performance from last year, you can back him to reach 125 yards at +280 at FanDuel.
In a game that should have a ton of fireworks, expect Bo Nix to target his WR1 early and often.
How would you rate this article?
Follow Us On Social
