Browns vs. Jaguars Odds & Betting Predictions - September 13, 2026

Boyd / FanDuel

Week 1 BIG underdogs Overall: 28-10-0,74% (ROI:43%) Season:0-0-0, 0% (ROI: 0%) #TSA

THE BLITZ is forecasting 0.93 TD passes for Deshaun Watson compared to 1.21 TD passes implied by sportsbooks, so I believe there is some value here. If you take the under, you’d be projected to win 56% of the time, resulting in a 38% ROI. Based on a $100 wager, the expected value here would be $38.44. This play is good down to at least +105. Love THE BLITZ? Get all of Carty’s sports betting projections at EV Analytics: https://evanalytics.com/products/nfl-premium-subscription?ref=zdlkmgz

Jeudy only commanded a target on 19% of his routes last season, and that was with very little competition for WR targets. His main competition was Cedric Tillman, Isaiah Bond and Malachi Corley. Cleveland added two talented rookies in KC Concepcion and Denzel Boston, and KC is the one I think could matter immediately. He gets open, earns targets and should command more looks than any of Jeudy’s WR competition from last year, even if the drop issues show up at times. Fannin should also be better in Year 2 and continue commanding a healthy target share, while Dylan Sampson can soak up underneath looks when he’s on the field. And, of course, it’s Deshaun Watson driving this clown car in Week 1. The main risk is simply Jeudy getting enough volume to clear this, which is obviously possible. There’s also a chance Cleveland tries to feature him early if they view him as a potential trade chip before the deadline. I’m already projecting him closer to what I’d consider his ceiling in terms of playing time, though, and still only get him around 27 receiving yards with roughly a 57% chance to stay under 31.5.

@GDAWG5000 https://open.spotify.com/episode/0FRCvBCOjsMbSyaB9McQxr?si=qion2LxCRuqOsRTD66bmrg&utm_source=copy-link

Grabbing this line now at Bet365 since he +340 at best everywhere else.

There may be some value on the interceptions prop for Deshaun Watson. THE BLITZ is projecting him to record 0.57 interceptions, and the oddsmakers are implying 1.00. The model believes there is a 66% chance he records fewer than 0.5 interceptions. If you can get the under at +150 or better, there is some great value here. This play is good down to at least -136. Love THE BLITZ? Get all of Carty’s sports betting projections at EV Analytics: https://evanalytics.com/products/nfl-premium-subscription?ref=zdlkmgz

This number appears to be on the move in favor of Jacksonville.