Patriots vs. Jaguars Odds & Betting Predictions - October 20, 2024

Patriots at Jaguars

1:30 pm • NFL Network
16 - 32

Patriots at Jaguars Odds

Spread, Total, Moneyline

MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline
Patriots
3-10
+6.5
+7-115
o42.5-112
+255
Jaguars
3-10
u42
-7-105
u42.5-108
-315
location pinSunday 1:30 p.m.
October 20, 2024
Wembley StadiumLondon
Patriots vs. Jaguars Expert Picks
Boomer Betz
Boomer Betz
54d ago
Last 30d: 148-145-10 (+31.7u)
Under 42 (Live)-105
1.58u
Prop Hunter
Prop Hunter
54d ago
Last 30d: 29-28-0 (+7.5u)
K.Boutte o1.5 Recs (Live)+110
1u
Mjaybrod
Mjaybrod
54d ago
Last 30d: 147-135-1 (+7.7u)
NE u22.5 Team Total (Live)-110
0.91u
Gotta love some early morning extra value
Sir Lockselot
Sir Lockselot
54d ago
Last 30d: 42-56-0 (+27.5u)
D.Johnson Anytime TD Scorer Yes+220
1u
🔑 D’Ernest Johnson ATD +220 (FanDuel) 1u Love this value and spot for him. His snaps will be split pretty much 50/50 with Tank and he should get the goal line carries and is the passing back. Dougy P loves him too. Let’s start with a early morning 💰
Shady Biev
Shady Biev
54d ago
Last 30d: 155-197-5 (-23.7u)
Under 42.5-110
1.65u
NE u17.5 Team Total-115
1.5u
B.Thomas Anytime TD Scorer Yes+180
1.8u
Picks  Office
Picks Office
54d ago
Last 30d: 105-98-5 (+0.1u)
JAC -6-110
0.91u
Read full writeup on X: https://x.com/PicksOffice The New England Patriots face struggles with rookie QB Drake Maye, shaky offense, and a weak offensive line. Maye’s turnovers and the Patriots' poor rankings in passing, total offense, and red zone efficiency compound their woes. The Jaguars, comfortable in London, have a strong ground game and should exploit the Patriots' weak defense. Jacksonville’s solid run defense gives them an edge over the Patriots.
Ryan Sura
Ryan Sura
54d ago
Last 30d: 85-101-4 (-20.6u)
K.Boutte o19.5 Rec Yds-110
1u
Under 7.5 (1Q)-122
1u
RocketPlays
RocketPlays
55d ago
Last 30d: 67-90-1 (+30.9u)
D.Douglas o48.5 Rec Yds-110
1.1u
💰🦡 Jake
💰🦡 Jake
55d ago
Last 30d: 74-86-1 (-23.1u)
Over 42-110
1u
Kyle Murray
Kyle Murray
55d ago
Last 30d: 51-68-1 (-20.1u)
D.Douglas o4.5 Recs-112
1.1u
NE +6.5-105
1.05u
Prop Bet Guy
Prop Bet Guy
55d ago
Last 30d: 69-52-0 (+10.4u)
T.Bigsby o54.5 Rush Yds-110
1u
Over in 3/4 with just 7+ attempts. Should function as the lead rusher vs the Pats, and this is the best chance in a while for the Jags to control the gamescript. Passing game has been rough, and I like them to feature Tank. Pats 27th in FTN’s DVOA metric against the run (and pass). Jags with a huge travel advantage and facing a rookie QB. Opposing RBs the L3 weeks: Mixon 102 yards, Mostert and Wright both 80+, Mason 123.
Sandy  Plashkes
Sandy Plashkes
55d ago
Last 30d: 107-107-4 (+7.1u)
C.Kirk o41.5 Rec Yds-112
1.12u
Tailing @RoyalsProps
Royals Props
Royals Props
55d ago
Last 30d: 57-59-2 (-7.9u)
C.Kirk o41.5 Rec Yds-113
1.13u
FanDuel
The Propfessor
The Propfessor
55d ago
Last 30d: 41-44-0 (-9.0u)
T.Bigsby o53.5 Rush Yds-113
1u
London game
Sean Koerner
Sean Koerner
55d ago
Last 30d: 23-24-0 (-5.8u)
T.Lawrence u234.5 Pass Yds-115
1u
Prop Bet Guy
Prop Bet Guy
55d ago
Last 30d: 69-52-0 (+10.4u)
K.Boutte o17.5 Rec Yds-120
1u
The Pats have phased out Thornton and Osborn the last two weeks, and Boutte has seen his snap and route share pop - he actually lead the Pats in routes run last week (and Polk has been pretty brutal, so I expect Boutte to complement Douglas). Over in each of the L2 - and even though the targets have been low, this is a spot where he could break out. The Jags secondary is bad (Tyson Campbell doesn’t scare me) - they allow the most yards per game to receivers. And they play man at the third highest rate. Boutte has popped vs man coverage (incredibly small sample size) - but this is a matchup where he could clear this with 1-2 catches. I have him at 5 targets.
Nick Giffen
Nick Giffen
55d ago
Last 30d: 48-85-0 (+15.0u)
J.Polk o1.5 Recs+104
1u
https://www.actionnetwork.com/nfl/nfl-player-prop-picks-week-7-sunday
Billy Ward
Billy Ward
55d ago
Last 30d: 16-26-1 (-2.7u)
NE +6-108
1.08u
Proptology _
Proptology _
56d ago
Last 30d: 6-13-0 (-10.5u)
D.Douglas o4.5 Recs-105
2.1u
🔬”Pop, you can’t guard him in a phone booth” - Drake Maye. Pop now gets a jaguars defense that runs man at the second highest rate in the league. A jags defense that has been in London and is ready to come home so Doug Pederson can be fired 🔬Jags defense running cover 1 a league high 37% of the time but allows the 9th highest open rate to the middle of the field which has resulted in - Keenan 5/41/2 & Kmet 5/70/2, Jeudy 5/73 & Moore 6/44, Shakir 6/71/1, Diggs 5/69, Downs 9/69, Waddle 5/109.
MJC Locks
MJC Locks
56d ago
Last 30d: 29-28-0 (+13.1u)
C.Kirk o29.5 Longest Reception+380
0.25u
C.Kirk o17.5 Longest Reception-120
0.83u
Brandon Anderson
Brandon Anderson
56d ago
Last 30d: 35-67-0 (-3.3u)
D.Maye o1.5 Pass TDs+255
1.91u
TAN pod / best bets
Gilles Gallant
Gilles Gallant
57d ago
Last 30d: 27-72-1 (-7.7u)
A.Hooper Anytime TD Scorer Yes+850
0.25u
Small longshot for London game. Still playing over 55% of snaps and caught a TD vs Man Coverage in W4 vs Niners. Jags play Man at top-3 rate. Henry still ok at +300 or above but wanted a long-shot to wake up to.
Markus Markets
Markus Markets
58d ago
Last 30d: 76-90-2 (+24.5u)
D.Maye o202.5 Pass Yds-120
0.83u
Fliff
Grant Neiffer
Grant Neiffer
58d ago
Last 30d: 49-41-4 (+4.6u)
E.Engram u46.5 Rec Yds-110
1u
Brian Matthews
Brian Matthews
59d ago
Last 30d: 2-10-1 (-4.0u)
H.Henry Anytime TD Scorer Yes+470
0.5u
The Jags have been one of the league’s worst defenses against opposing TE’s, giving up 4 TD’s over the past 4 games to the position. Just last weekend, they gave up two touchdowns to Cole Kmet, and the week before that Mo Allie-Cox scored against them. Go back to week 3, Dalton Kincaid scored his first TD of the season against them. On top of that rookie QB Drake Maye pumped some life into the Patriots offense. Maye threw for 243 yards and 3 touchdowns in his first start, including 1 to Henry. Henry actually saw a 15.1% target share in Maye’s first start and was on the receiving end of Maye’s only passing attempt inside the 10 yard line. All of that makes +470 seem like solid value to me.
Moneyline Hacks
Moneyline Hacks
62d ago
Last 30d: 53-52-0 (-4.4u)
Under 40-110
1u
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PRO Insights

Patriots logo

Patriots

NE Insights
  • Patriots logoPatriots TEs have 2 receiving touchdowns this season -- T-7th-most in NFL; the Jaguars have allowed 4 receiving touchdowns to TEs this season -- most in NFL.
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Jaguars logo

Jaguars

JAC Insights
  • Jaguars logoJaguars RBs have rushed for 10 or more yards on 14.0% of 113 carries this season -- T-2nd-best in NFL; the Patriots have allowed 10+ yards on 13.0% of carries to RBs this season -- T-6th-worst in NFL.
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Patriots vs. Jaguars Previews & Analysis

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Patriots vs. Jaguars Props

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Patriots vs. Jaguars Public Betting Percentages

62%

Bets%

38%

Money%

Matchup History

Against the Spread (ATS) History

overallhomeawayfavoriteunderdog
Jaguars
8-53-24-21-37-2
Patriots
5-7-12-3-13-3N/A5-7-1

Over/Under History

overallhome o/uaway o/ufavorite o/uunderdog o/u
Jaguars
7-62-33-33-14-5
Patriots
8-55-12-4N/A8-5

Straight-Up (ML) History

overallhomeawayfavoriteunderdog
Jaguars
3-10N/AN/A2-21-8
Patriots
3-10N/AN/AN/A3-10

Last 5 Matchups

dateopponentscorespreadover/undermoneyline
Oct 13th@CHIL 16-35-1.5 LO 44.5CHI -125
Oct 6thINDW 37-34-4 LO 44.5JAC -190
Sep 29th@HOUL 20-24+5.5 WU 44.5HOU +190
Sep 23rd@BUFL 10-47+4.5 LO 46.5BUF +185
Sep 15thCLEL 13-18-3 LU 41CLE -166

Jaguars vs. Patriots Injury Updates

Jaguars Injuries

  • Josh Reynolds
    WR

    Reynolds is questionable with hand

    Questionable

  • Evan Engram
    TE

    Engram is out with shoulder

    Out

  • Christian Kirk
    WR

    Kirk is out with collarbone

    Out

  • Logan Cooke
    P

    Cooke is questionable with knee

    Questionable

  • Andrew Wingard
    S

    Wingard is questionable with knee

    Questionable

  • Ezra Cleveland
    OL

    Cleveland is questionable with ankle

    Questionable

  • Gabe Davis
    WR

    Davis is out with knee

    Out

  • Ross Matiscik
    LS

    Matiscik is questionable with hamstring

    Questionable

  • Trevor Lawrence
    QB

    Trevor Lawrence placed on injured reserve. Mac Jones will start.

    Out

  • Tyson Campbell
    CB

    Campbell is questionable with thigh

    Questionable

  • Esezi Otomewo
    DT

    Otomewo is questionable with calf

    Questionable

  • Yasir Abdullah
    LB

    Abdullah is questionable with hamstring

    Questionable

  • Maason Smith
    DT

    Smith is questionable with ankle

    Questionable

  • Keilan Robinson
    RB

    Robinson is questionable with toe

    Questionable

Patriots Injuries

  • Yannick Ngakoue
    LB

    Ngakoue is out with personal

    Out

  • Deatrich Wise
    DE

    Wise is questionable with foot

    Questionable

  • Jabrill Peppers
    S

    Peppers is questionable with knee

    Questionable

  • Sione Takitaki
    LB

    Takitaki is questionable with knee

    Questionable

  • Kyle Dugger
    S

    Dugger is questionable with ankle

    Questionable

  • Anfernee Jennings
    LB

    Jennings is questionable with knee

    Questionable

  • Christian Elliss
    LB

    Elliss is questionable with abdomen

    Questionable

  • Cole Strange
    G

    Strange is out with knee

    Out

  • Vederian Lowe
    T

    Lowe is questionable with shoulder

    Questionable

  • Alex Austin
    CB

    Austin is questionable with ankle

    Questionable

  • Jaquelin Roy
    DT

    Roy is questionable with neck

    Questionable

Team Stats
295
Total Yards
364
54
Total Plays
59
5.5
Yards Per Play
6.2
276
YDS
193
26/37
Comps/Atts
15/20
6.59
YPA
9.65
2/0
TDs/INTs
1/0
2/19
Sacks/Yards
0/0
38
Rush Yards
171
15
Attempts
39
2.533
YPC
4.385
0
TDs
2
0
Fumbles Lost
0
0
Interceptions
0

Efficiency

2/2 100%
Redzone
3/5 60%
6/12 0%
3rd Down
6/10 0%
0/1 0%
4th Down
0/1 0%

First Downs

17
Total
23
13
Pass
9
2
Rush
13
2
Penalty
1
7/35
Penalties/Yards
4/24
26:45
Possession
33:15

Patriots vs. Jaguars Odds Comparison

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Patriots at Jaguars Team Totals

MatchupOverUnder
Patriots
3-10
o17.5+105
u17.5-125
Jaguars
3-10
o24.5-105
u24.5-115