Projected 2020 NFL Draft Order: Dolphins Win Hurts Chances for First Pick

NFL

Credit:

Jasen Vinlove-USA TODAY Sports. Pictured: Fan

Katie Richcreek

Updated:

Sep 23, 2021, 02:02 PM EDT

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We've projected the 2020 NFL Draft order in the wake of the Miami Dolphins' first win.
You'll find their updated chances to secure the first overall pick and more below.

The Tank4Tua campaign hit a road bump when the Miami Dolphins won their first game of 2019 with a 26-18 victory on the New York Jets this past Sunday.

The Dolphins had a 72.34% chance to land the No. 1 pick in the 2020 NFL Draft heading into Week 9 according to our Bet Labs model, which simulates the season 10,000 times. The win drops those chances down to 43.18%.

The 0-8 Cincinnati Bengals are closing in on the lead, improving their chances from 14.74% last week to 23.04% as of Monday. Their decision to bench Andy Dalton in favor of rookie Ryan Finley coming out the bye also doesn't bode well for the Dolphins maintaining a comfortable edge in the race to the bottom.

The 1-8 Washington Redskins also got a bump from 5.28% to 15.84%, as did the Jets from 3.57% to 11.15%.

Still, our model projects the Dolphins to finish with the lowest average wins (2.89), so not all hope is lost of them getting the first pick in a loaded quarterback class.

They have a soft schedule from Weeks 14-16 — at the Jets, at the Giants and vs. the Bengals — but should really only be potentially favored at home against Cincy. Then they wrap the season with a visit to Foxborough.

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