Bengals vs Bills Odds: Buffalo Favored in AFC Divisional Round
Getty Images. Pictured: Josh Allen (left) and Joe Burrow.
Bengals vs. Bills Odds
Buffalo is a home favorite, which makes sense. The Bills have been favored in every game they've played this season, and they were 2.5-point favorites ahead of that Week 17 matchup on Monday Night Football.
Let's get into the Bengals vs. Bills odds and preview the matchup.
Bengals vs. Bills Matchup Analysis
Toggle the dropdowns below to hide or show how the Bengals and Bills match up statistically:
Bengals vs. Bills DVOA Breakdown
These are two of the NFL’s top-five teams in Football Outsiders’ Overall DVOA, with Buffalo finishing first and Cincinnati fifth. In terms of Weighted DVOA, which weighs recent performances more heavily, Buffalo is second and Cincinnati fourth.
The Bills are clearly the most well-rounded team in the NFL. They’re the only team with top-five units on offense (second), defense (fourth) and special teams (first), according to DVOA.
Efficiency is not an issue for Buffalo on offense. The Bills averaged 5.9 yards per play against Miami and out-gained the Dolphins by 192 yards, although Miami was down to its third-string quarterback.
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A potential concern for Buffalo fans will be turnovers. Josh Allen threw two interceptions and lost a fumble against Miami. Buffalo has now committed three turnovers in each of its last three games, which were wins over the Bears, Patriots and Dolphins. In that three-game span, Allen has thrown five interceptions.
On the Cincinnati side, all it needs is Joe Burrow to have a chance — as he told the media last week.
The Bengals have won nine straight games after dispatching of the Ravens for the second straight week on Sunday night. That success has been powered by Burrow, who is thriving on offense.
In the Bengals’ final eight games of the regular season, Burrow averaged 268.3 passing yards per game and threw 18 touchdowns to six interceptions. He even added a pair of touchdowns on the ground.
The Bengals, meanwhile, have been a bettor’s best friend, ending the regular season at an astonishing 12-4 against the spread, although they were only 6-9-1 to the over.