Koerner’s MNF Miracle Odds: Will You Win Your Fantasy Matchup?
Vincent Carchietta-USA TODAY Sports. Pictured: Evan Engram, Saquon Barkley
- Sean Koerner calculates the probability of key Cowboys and Giants players scoring enough points to win your Week 9 fantasy football matchups.
Monday Night Football can make or break your weekly fantasy matchup. Sweating player(s) you and/or your opponent have makes it a high leverage situation.
So what’re your chances for a Monday night miracle win?
I simulated tonight’s matchup 10,000 times to calculate the probability of key players hitting certain point thresholds. So, for example: Need 28 points from Saquon Barkley? He has a 10.70% chance of pulling out a MNF miracle for you.
Here are the players I’ll touch on:
- Cowboys: Dak Prescott, Ezekiel Elliott, Amari Cooper, Michael Gallup, Randall Cobb, Jason Witten
- Giants: Daniel Jones, Saquon Barkley, Golden Tate, Darius Slayton, Evan Engram
Now let’s dig into the full odds. (Note these are based on half PPR scoring.)