Koerner’s MNF Miracle Odds: Will You Win Your Fantasy Matchup?
Credit:
Vincent Carchietta-USA TODAY Sports. Pictured: Evan Engram, Saquon Barkley
- Sean Koerner calculates the probability of key Cowboys and Giants players scoring enough points to win your Week 9 fantasy football matchups.
Monday Night Football can make or break your weekly fantasy matchup. Sweating player(s) you and/or your opponent have makes it a high leverage situation.
So what’re your chances for a Monday night miracle win?
I simulated tonight’s matchup 10,000 times to calculate the probability of key players hitting certain point thresholds. So, for example: Need 28 points from Saquon Barkley? He has a 10.70% chance of pulling out a MNF miracle for you.
Here are the players I’ll touch on:
- Cowboys: Dak Prescott, Ezekiel Elliott, Amari Cooper, Michael Gallup, Randall Cobb, Jason Witten
- Giants: Daniel Jones, Saquon Barkley, Golden Tate, Darius Slayton, Evan Engram
Now let’s dig into the full odds. (Note these are based on half PPR scoring.)
Dak Prescott, QB, Cowboys
Daniel Jones, QB, Giants
Ezekiel Elliott, RB, Cowboys
Saquon Barkley, RB, Giants
Amari Cooper, WR, Cowboys
Michael Gallup, WR, Cowboys
Randall Cobb, WR, Cowboys
Golden Tate, WR, Giants
Darius Slayton, WR, Giants
Jason Witten, TE, Cowboys
Evan Engram, TE, Giants
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