Koerner’s MNF Miracle Odds: Will You Win Your Fantasy Matchup?

Koerner’s MNF Miracle Odds: Will You Win Your Fantasy Matchup? article feature image

Vincent Carchietta-USA TODAY Sports. Pictured: Evan Engram, Saquon Barkley

  • Sean Koerner calculates the probability of key Cowboys and Giants players scoring enough points to win your Week 9 fantasy football matchups.

Monday Night Football can make or break your weekly fantasy matchup. Sweating player(s) you and/or your opponent have makes it a high leverage situation.

So what’re your chances for a Monday night miracle win?

I simulated tonight’s matchup 10,000 times to calculate the probability of key players hitting certain point thresholds. So, for example: Need 28 points from Saquon Barkley? He has a 10.70% chance of pulling out a MNF miracle for you.

Here are the players I’ll touch on:

  • Cowboys: Dak Prescott, Ezekiel Elliott, Amari Cooper, Michael Gallup, Randall Cobb, Jason Witten
  • Giants: Daniel Jones, Saquon Barkley, Golden Tate, Darius Slayton, Evan Engram

Now let’s dig into the full odds. (Note these are based on half PPR scoring.)

Dak Prescott, QB, Cowboys

Daniel Jones, QB, Giants

Ezekiel Elliott, RB, Cowboys

Saquon Barkley, RB, Giants

Amari Cooper, WR, Cowboys

Michael Gallup, WR, Cowboys

Randall Cobb, WR, Cowboys

Golden Tate, WR, Giants

Darius Slayton, WR, Giants

Jason Witten, TE, Cowboys

Evan Engram, TE, Giants

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