Our 3 Favorite Eagles vs. Falcons Bets for Sunday Night Football

Our 3 Favorite Eagles vs. Falcons Bets for Sunday Night Football article feature image
Credit:

Bill Streicher-USA TODAY Sports. Pictured: Carson Wentz

Eagles at Falcons Betting Odds

  • Odds: Eagles -2
  • Total: 52.5
  • Time: 8:20 p.m. ET
  • TV Channel: NBC

Odds above as of Saturday evening and via PointsBet, where Action Network users can exclusively bet every NFL spread this season at reduced juice (-105).

The Atlanta Falcons host the Philadelphia Eagles in Week 2’s Sunday Night Football showdown.

Are Matt Ryan and Co. being undervalued as home underdogs? What should we expect from Philly after its close win over Washington?

See how our experts are betting this game, including an against-the-spread pick and two player prop bets.


Collin Wilson: Falcons +2

Much like handicapping baseball, the home vs. road splits for Matt Ryan are reliable.

The Falcons quarterback has a higher quarterback rating, passing yards per game, completion percentage and yards per attempt at home over his decade-plus career. Do not hop off this bandwagon just yet, as the Falcons won the total yardage and first down battle against Minnesota last week.

They also received the highest grade in defensive pressure for Week 1. Three turnovers in Minneapolis cost the Falcons the first of their 13 total dome games.

As a gambler with investments on the Eagles, sirens should have been going off during the first half of last week’s game against the Redskins. Philadelphia came back from a 20-7 deficit, but allowed Washington to average 6.9 yards per play.

More importantly, the Eagles defense collected no turnovers and had just one sack against a Redskins offensive line that was 24th in adjusted sack rate last season.

Matthew Freedman: Falcons WR Calvin Ridley Props

Under 4.5 Receptions (-115)
Under 58.5 Receiving Yards (-125)

After a tough Week 1 performance on the road in Minneapolis — where almost every passing game struggles — the Falcons offense should bounce back at home against the Eagles.

Last year, the Eagles allowed the league’s third-most receptions (239) and receiving yards (3,082) to opposing wide receivers, and last week they allowed Case Keenum to complete 30 passes for 380 yards.

This is a good matchup for the Falcons passing game.

But of the wide receivers, Julio Jones and Mohamed Sanu are likelier than Ridley is to capitalize.

In his first couple of years with the Eagles (2017-18), No. 1 cornerback Ronald Darby played almost exclusively at right corner, but in Week 1, the Eagles moved him back to left corner, where he principally played in his first two NFL seasons (2015-16) with the Bills.

Matt Ryan-Calvin Ridley-Julio Jones
Kim Klement-USA TODAY Sports. Pictured: Matt Ryan, Calvin Ridley, Julio Jones

Last year, Ridley played more out wide to the right than at any other position, and that trend continued into Week 1, when he saw 36 of his 57 snaps as the right wide receiver.

So for the majority of his snaps and routes, Ridley is likely to face Darby, the only above-average corner the Eagles have.

Meanwhile, Jones and Sanu will run routes against right corner Rasul Douglas and slot corner Avonte Maddox, who respectively put up Pro Football Focus coverage grades of 47.3 and 43.1 in Week 1.

With their superior matchups, Ryan should funnel targets to Jones and Sanu to the exclusion of Ridley.

In our FantasyLabs Props Tool, we have Ridley projected for 3.7 receptions and 46.2 yards, so I’m fully on the under.