Jerick McKinnon Props: Chiefs vs Eagles Super Bowl Betting Pick for RB
Photo by Carmen Mandato/Getty Images. Pictured: Jerick McKinnon.
- Chiefs running back Jerick McKinnon has a wide range of production outcomes against the Eagles in Super Bowl 57.
- Alex Kolodziej analyzes whether the speedster will go over or under his rushing yards prop on Sunday.
Jerick McKinnon Super Bowl Props
Jerick McKinnon's Super Bowl 57 player props tell you all you need to know about his strengths in the Kansas City Chiefs offense.
The veteran running back's receiving yards total (20.5-22.5) is lined higher than his rushing yards total (18.5-21.5) across the market.
McKinnon's snap count is fluid on a weekly basis, especially with Isiah Pacheco's recent surge.
Still, McKinnon's commanded respect in the touchdown market vs. the Philadelphia Eagles. He has the third- or fourth-shortest odds of all Chiefs players to score on Sunday, depending on the sportsbook.
Volatile usage rates oftentimes don't play well for single-game prop predictions.
However, there's a solid position to take on one of McKinnon's rushing props vs. the Eagles.
Betting Picks
Some weeks, McKinnon will chew up 40-plus snaps; other times, he struggles to sniff 25.
Even if McKinnon flirts with the high end of his usage rate, I still like his rushing yards under.
McKinnon only averaged 17.1 rushing yards per game this season. If we use WynnBET's price of 20.5, McKinnon has sailed under the number in 12 of 19 contests (playoffs included).
McKinnon's been out-snapped by Pacheco in four of the last 11 games; and in three additional, McKinnon only out-snapped Pacheco by either one or two plays.
This includes the AFC title game, in which the Rutgers rookie out-played the 30-year-old vet by 12 snaps.
McKinnon's ceiling's probably limited to the passing game, where he's recorded 90% of his touchdowns this season.
He's posted more than five carries just once over the last five games — and in that one contest, he needed 11 totes to record 25 yards.
McKinnon's posting a touch on just 25.8% snaps and fewer than eight overall per game.
I'd fade his rushing total, which ranges anywhere from 18.5-21.5, but I wouldn't pay any more tax on a 20.5.
Pick: Jerick McKinnon Under 21.5 Rushing Yards | Bet to -125 |
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