Patriots-Bills MNF Betting Preview: Will Brady’s Dominance of Buffalo Continue?

Oct 29, 2018 07:08 PM EDT

USA Today Sports. Pictured: Tom Brady, Derek Anderson

Betting odds: New England Patriots at Buffalo Bills

  • Spread: Patriots -13.5
  • Over/Under: 44.5
  • Time: 8:15 p.m. ET
  • TV channel: ESPN

>> All odds as of Sunday evening. Download The Action Network App to get real-time NFL odds and track your bets

Betting market: This line has fluctuated between New England -13 and -14 all week. While 69% of bets are on the Patriots as of writing (see live data here), oddsmakers have been unable to hold this spread at two touchdowns, as sharp bettors have taken a liking to the Bills at that number.

The total has yet to move despite a 74% majority on the over, as those bets are accounting for only 58% of dollars. Danny Donahue

Trends to know: According to our Bet Labs data, double-digit underdogs have gone 46-26-2 (64%) against the spread in prime-time games since 2003, including 8-3 ATS when facing Tom Brady.

Meanwhile, Brady is 14-2 straight up and 12-4 ATS when playing in Buffalo. John Ewing

The Patriots are the 26th team to be favored by 14 or more points on the road in the wild-card era (since 1990). The previous 25 teams went 23-2 SU but 11-14 ATS. Ewing and Evan Abrams

model helps you find edges when betting moneylines and over/unders for the full game
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