Patriots-Bills MNF Betting Preview: Will Brady’s Dominance of Buffalo Continue?

Oct 29, 2018 7:08 PM EDT

Betting odds: New England Patriots at Buffalo Bills

  • Spread: Patriots -13.5
  • Over/Under: 44.5
  • Time: 8:15 p.m. ET
  • TV channel: ESPN

>> All odds as of Sunday evening. Download The Action Network App to get real-time NFL odds and track your bets


Betting market: This line has fluctuated between New England -13 and -14 all week. While 69% of bets are on the Patriots as of writing (see live data here), oddsmakers have been unable to hold this spread at two touchdowns, as sharp bettors have taken a liking to the Bills at that number.

The total has yet to move despite a 74% majority on the over, as those bets are accounting for only 58% of dollars. Danny Donahue

Trends to know: According to our Bet Labs data, double-digit underdogs have gone 46-26-2 (64%) against the spread in prime-time games since 2003, including 8-3 ATS when facing Tom Brady.

Meanwhile, Brady is 14-2 straight up and 12-4 ATS when playing in Buffalo. John Ewing

The Patriots are the 26th team to be favored by 14 or more points on the road in the wild-card era (since 1990). The previous 25 teams went 23-2 SU but 11-14 ATS. Ewing and Evan Abrams

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Credit:

USA Today Sports. Pictured: Tom Brady, Derek Anderson

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SCHEDULE
OPEN
CURR
# BETS
BUF
NYJ
37
-9.5
37.5
-6.5
MIA
GB
47.5
-9.5
49
-12
NYG
SF
44
-3
45
-3
LAC
OAK
50.5
+10
50.5
+10
NO
CIN
55.5
+4.5
53.5
+6
NE
TEN
46.5
+7
46.5
+6.5
CAR
PIT
50
-7
51
-3.5
ARI
KC
50
-17.5
49.5
-16.5
WAS
TB
51.5
PK
51
-3.5
DET
CHI
46.5
-6.5
44.5
-7
ATL
CLE
51
+3.5
49.5
+6
JAC
IND
47.5
-3
48
-3
SEA
LA
51.5
-11.5
51
-10
DAL
PHI
43.5
-6
45
-7.5