Saints-Bengals Betting Preview: Finding Value With This High Over/Under

Nov 11, 2018 8:20 AM EST

Aaron Doster-USA TODAY Sports. Pictured: Cincinnati Bengals wide receiver A.J. Green (18).

Betting odds: New Orleans Saints at Cincinnati Bengals

  • Spread: Saints -5.5
  • Over/Under: 54
  • Time: 1 p.m. ET
  • TV channel: FOX

>> All odds as of Friday morning. Download The Action Network App to get real-time NFL odds and track your bets

Betting market: Following a huge win over the Rams, the Saints have garnered 76% of bet tickets. Though initial sharp action on the Bengals moved Cincy from +4 to +3.5, the market quickly shifted its attention to New Orleans.

After the Saints got steamed at -4 on Monday, the line has continued to move in their favor, reaching the current spread of -5.5/-6 on Wednesday (find the live odds here). — Mark Gallant

Trends to know: New Orleans is a road favorite in Cincinnati against a Bengals team coming off a bye week. Advantage Cincy, right? No.

Since 2003, road favorites facing a team with 13 or more days between games have gone 41-29-1 (59%) against the spread, according to our Bet Labs data. — John Ewing

Last week, the Saints knocked off the Rams, taking out the last undefeated team in the NFL. A common betting theory is to fade teams coming off big, monumental wins.

Since 2003, teams in November or later that knocked off an undefeated team the previous week, are 14-7-1 ATS (66.7%), covering the spread by five points per game, including 9-4-1 ATS when playing their next game on the road. — Evan Abrams



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