Browns vs. Broncos Odds, NFL Picks, Predictions: How We’re Betting Thursday Night Football Spread & Props
Dustin Bradford/Getty Images. Pictured: Broncos WR Courtland Sutton, QB Teddy Bridgewater
- Betting on Thursday Night Football? Find Browns vs. Broncos odds as well as our analysts' favorite picks below.
- With Baker Mayfield and a laundry list of other Browns playmakers out, where's the betting value on this spread?
- Based on his own projections, our Director of Predictive Analytics thinks it's on the Broncos to cover.
Browns vs. Broncos Odds & Picks
|Broncos pick’em or better|
|Teddy Bridgewater Over 19.5 Completions|
Sean Koerner: I locked in the Broncos +3.5 before news broke that Case Keenum would start in place of an injured Baker Mayfield, but as I detailed in my full betting preview — it’s also the absence of running backs Nick Chubb and Kareem Hunt, the offensive line injuries, and the potential to be without their top two wide receivers that has me projecting this as a pick’em.
I still like the Broncos down to a pick’em here. If Odell Beckham Jr., Jarvis Landry and at least one Browns offensive lineman are ruled out, I will be projecting the Broncos -1 or better.
Mike Randle: This number is too low for an accurate quarterback like Bridgewater, who has completed more than 70% of his passes on the season. He’s beat this prop in four of his five games, excluding the loss to the Ravens that he left early with an injury.
The only game he failed to reach this number was their 26-0 home shutout of the Jets, but this game is projected as a close battle at Cleveland, with short spread and a low 41.5 point total (check real-time odds here). The Browns have allowed the fourth-fewest fantasy points to opposing running backs, indicating the likelihood of increased pass volume for the Broncos.
Even in last week’s 37-14 blowout loss to the Cardinals, the Browns still allowed quarterback Kyler Murray to reach 20 completions. The defense has allowed the fourth-most fantasy points to opposing wide receivers, providing opportunities for Courtland Sutton and Tim Patrick to generate targets in the short to intermediate area of the field.
We project Bridgewater for 21.6 completions in our Action Labs props tool, which is 2.1 competitions above this total.