Zylbert’s NFL Over/Unders: How to Capitalize on Matt Patricia’s History Against Brock Osweiler

Oct 21, 2018 10:27 AM EDT

Betting odds: Detroit Lions at Miami Dolphins

  • Over/Under: 47
  • Time: 1 p.m. ET
  • Channel: FOX

Zylbert’s 2018 NFL Over/Under Betting Record: 4-2-1, +1.8 units
Week 6’s Result: Cardinals-Vikings Over 43 (WIN)

*Each bet graded as if it were to win 1 unit


Apparently all you need now is one breakout game to have an entire month decreed in your honor.

Enter Brocktober.

The craze swept Miami when backup quarterback Brock Osweiler stepped in admirably for Ryan Tannehill last week and delivered a career-high 380 passing yards and three touchdowns en route to a thrilling overtime victory over the Bears at home.

But let’s emphasize something: It was one game. And it involved catching Chicago off-guard, as Osweiler was anointed as the starter only shortly before kickoff. (In fact, the league is investigating Miami’s handling of the injury report regarding Tannehill’s status).

Surely that played a role in Osweiler’s effective outing opposite a normally stout Bears defense that couldn’t have been as well-prepared.

Osweiler won’t have that luxury this week, which could spell trouble for the 2012 second-round draft choice who will be facing a coach who has enjoyed success against him in the past.

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Credit:

Credit: Robert Deutsch-USA TODAY Sports. Pictured: Brock Osweiler

Follow Matt Zylbert on Twitter
@MattZylbert

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SCHEDULE
OPEN
CURR
# BETS
BUF
NYJ
37
-9.5
37.5
-6.5
MIA
GB
47.5
-9.5
49
-12
NYG
SF
44
-3
45
-3
LAC
OAK
50.5
+10
50.5
+10
NO
CIN
55.5
+4.5
53.5
+6
NE
TEN
46.5
+7
46.5
+6.5
CAR
PIT
50
-7
51
-3.5
ARI
KC
50
-17.5
49.5
-16.5
WAS
TB
51.5
PK
51
-3.5
DET
CHI
46.5
-6.5
44.5
-7
ATL
CLE
51
+3.5
49.5
+6
JAC
IND
47.5
-3
48
-3
SEA
LA
51.5
-11.5
51
-10
DAL
PHI
43.5
-6
45
-7.5