NFL Pick ‘Em Rankings: Straight Up & Against the Spread Picks For Week 11

NFL Pick ‘Em Rankings: Straight Up & Against the Spread Picks For Week 11 article feature image
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Hannah Foslien/Getty Images. Pictured: Vikings mascot

Straight up. Against the spread.

Whether you’re playing in your office’s (virtual) pool or in a higher-stakes contest, I’ve created pick ’em confidence ratings to help you make your picks each week — complete with a custom against the spread edge calculator.

These ratings are based on my NFL Power Ratings, which help power our PRO Projections. They account for various factors such as travel, injuries and any news that could impact betting odds.

Now let’s run through Week 11 pick ’em confidence ratings for straight up (SU) and against the spread (ATS) contests — note that these are based on initial projections as of mid-week, but I’ll update this story with my latest rankings on Saturday.


Jump to ATS Ratings


NFL Pick 'Em Rankings

These are for straight-up pick 'em pools.

ConfTeamOppWin Prob%
1
Steelers
@ JAX
83%
T-2
Vikings
vs. DAL
80%
T-2
Chargers
vs. NYJ
80%
4
Chiefs
@ LV
71%
5
Ravens
vs. TEN
68%
6
Saints
vs. ATL
65%
7
Buccaneers
vs. LAR
63%
T-8
Seahawks
vs. ARI
60%
T-8
Dolphins
@ DEN
60%
T-10
Browns
vs. PHI
56%
T-10
Colts
vs. GB
56%
12
Panthers
vs. DET
54%
T-13
Patriots
@ HOU
50%
T-13
Texans
vs. NE
50%
T-13
Bengals
@ WAS
50%
T-13
Football Team
vs. CIN
50%
17
Lions
@ CAR
46%
T-18
Eagles
@ CLE
44%
T-18
Packers
@ IND
44%
20
Cardinals
@ SEA
40%
T-20
Broncos
vs. MIA
40%
T-22
Rams
@ TB
37%
23
Falcons
@ NO
35%
24
Titans
@ BAL
32%
25
Raiders
vs. KC
29%
T-26
Cowboys
@ MIN
20%
T-26
Jets
@ LAC
20%
28
Jaguars
vs. PIT
17%

Week 11 NFL Pick 'Em Rankings

I'll update the embedded table featuring my ATS confidence ratings throughout the week, but your contest may use different lines, so I've also created this downloadable spreadsheet so you can calculate ratings specific to your pool.

Simply add the odds your contest is using into Column D, then the edge and ratings will automatically recalculate.

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