Our football staff is focused on six of Sunday's biggest games for our NFL predictions in Week 14 on December 7.
First, we'll target Steelers vs Ravens and Seahawks vs Falcons in the early window. Later in the afternoon, we have a pair of picks for Bears vs Packers and Broncos vs Raiders. We also have picks for Titans vs Browns, Texans vs Chiefs, and more.
Let's dive into our expert NFL picks and best bets for the Week 14 Sunday slate.
NFL Predictions & Picks — Week 14
| Game | Time (ET) | Pick |
|---|---|---|
  | 1:00 p.m. | |
  | 1:00 p.m. | |
  | 1:00 p.m. | |
  | 4:05 p.m. | |
  | 4:25 p.m. | |
  | 8:20 p.m. | |
Specific betting recommendations come from the sportsbook offering preferred odds as of writing. Always shop for the best price using our NFL Odds page, which automatically surfaces the best lines for every game. | ||
Steelers vs Ravens
The Ravens' offense was the one thing they could hang their hat on, but as of late, it has been subpar. Since Week 10, the Ravens are the fourth-worst team in the NFL in dropback EPA/play.
The Steelers' defense is poised to shut down this Ravens passing attack.
If the Ravens are going to get anything going on offense, they are going to have to run the ball, which lowers the possibility of a blowout in this divisional matchup.
Pick: Steelers +6 (-110)
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Seahawks vs Falcons
By Dylan Wilkerson
The Falcons are one of the unluckiest teams in football, according to Action Network's Luck Rankings. Thus, I am betting on some positive regression for Kirk Cousins and company.
Dating back to Week 11, the Falcons' offensive numbers have not been as bad as you would expect. They rank 10th in EPA/play, with a dropback success rate of 53.6%.
Overall success rate? Atlanta ranks 2nd, behind only the Rams.
Seattle has been trending down the past few weeks, ranking 20th in EPA/play and relying very heavily on explosive plays.
I think we'll see the Falcons keep this game close.
Pick: Falcons +7 (-115)
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Titans vs Browns
By Bet Labs
The NFL system titled "Small Bad Away 'Dogs" captures how teams that were poor in the previous season but enter the new year as underdogs on the road often exceed expectations when the spread is modest.
Teams with few wins from the prior year are usually overlooked by both oddsmakers and bettors, yet these squads can show meaningful improvement with roster changes, draft additions, or coaching adjustments.
Being priced as small underdogs rather than large ones suggests the market already sees potential, but not enough to account for the motivational edge and element of surprise that these teams often bring.
Playing in the regular season, when effort is high and opportunities to reset a narrative are strongest, creates a profitable window where small underdogs with bad histories prove to be undervalued and capable of covering spreads consistently.
Pick: Titans +4 (-110)
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Broncos vs Raiders
By Dylan Wilkerson
The Broncos are the second-luckiest team in Action Network's Luck Rankings, while the Raiders are 29th.
This is by far the biggest gap of the week.
The Broncos took a far inferior Commanders team down to the wire on Sunday Night Football in Week 13, needing to go to overtime and narrowly escaping an upset loss. I don't see why a divisional rival can't do the same.
We have seen the Broncos' offense struggle. The Raiders' defense may not need to be stout in order for the Broncos' drives to stall.
I like the Raiders to keep this game close.
Pick: Raiders +7.5 (-105)
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Bears vs Packers
By Bet Labs
The NFL system titled "Road 'Dog Low Total After Bad Season" focuses on how struggling teams from the previous year can quietly outperform expectations when catching points on the road in lower scoring games.
Teams with six or fewer wins from the prior season — like the Bears — are often undervalued, but when they are priced as moderate underdogs in contests with totals capped at 50, the environment favors closer outcomes and makes points more valuable.
Playing on Sundays in December amplifies this effect, as late season contests often bring unique motivations and divisional familiarity.
In these situations, public bias against bad teams collides with the natural tendency for low total games to stay tight, creating profitable opportunities for road underdogs to cover.
Pick: Bears +6.5 (-105)
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Texans vs Chiefs
By Dylan Wilkerson
I am going to have to keep backing this Texans team until they let me down, and they have yet to do that so far.
The story of the Texans is not their offense, but their defense.
They are one of the most efficient defensive units in professional football, ranking first in dropback EPA allowed and fourth in rushing EPA allowed.
Patrick Mahomes has strayed far from how he looked at the beginning of the season when he was a part of MVP conversations.
Now, he has been plagued with turnovers, and this isn't exactly the ideal week to try to get back on track against an elite Texans defensive unit.
Pick: Texans +3.5 (-115)
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