Packers vs. 49ers Sharp Betting Pick: Buyback on the NFC Championship Over/Under
Pictured: 49ers Head Coach Kyle Shanahan. (Photo by Thearon W. Henderson/Getty Images)
In what will be the penultimate NFL game of the season, the heir of Brett Favre visits the heir of Tom Brady to decide who represents the NFC in the Super Bowl.
While sharps waited until Thursday to make a move on this game, there’s been some very interesting activity over the past few days.
Here’s how professional bettors are impacting the odds.
Green Bay Packers at San Francisco 49ers Sharp Pick
6:40 p.m. ET | FOX
Can sharp bettors play both sides of a game? You betcha. This over/under is a fine example of such a phenomenon.
After opening at 45, this total sat and sat and sat some more, remaining at 45 until Thursday. It was at this point that significant sharp action struck the over, moving it from 45 to 46.5 across the market in a short amount of time.
Fast-forward a day and what do you know — a Reverse Line Move strikes the under. Just 31% of the bets are on the under, but this wave of sharp action was able to drop the line back down a half point.
It’s possible those with over tickets on 45/45.5 and under tickets on 46.5 hit the middle at 46, but that number hasn’t particularly been too important in NFL over/under betting historically.
- Early Sharp Angle: Over (moved from 45 to 46.5)
- Sharp Buyback: Under (moved from 46.5 to 46)