Rams vs 49ers Player Prop & Game Pick: Expert Betting Cam Akers, 49ers for Monday Night Football
Icon Sportswire/Getty. Pictured: Cam Akers.
Cam Akers Receptions
|Prop||Under 1.5 Receptions|
|Matchup||Rams vs. 49ers|
|Day, Time||Monday, 8:15 p.m. ET|
In the Rams offense, running back Cam Akers operates exclusively as the early-down back, while Darrell Henderson is the predominant third down and two-minute offense back.
Generally, this contributes to the fact that Akers doesn't run many pass-catching routes. Last week, he only ran five routes.
Matt Stafford is also a quarterback that doesn't like to target the running back on early downs. He's targeting backs at the third-lowest clip in the league on first and second down.
To clear two receptions, Akers needs a lot of things to go his way, and I put the fair odds on this pick closer to -230.
Pick: Akers Under 1.5 Receptions (-150 via FanDuel)
Rams vs. 49ers Odds
The 49ers match up well with the Rams, whose offensive line will not be 100% intact tonight. San Francisco has generated the highest pressure rate on opposing QBs this season. Stafford is likely to face a lot of pressure and the Rams offense as a whole could really struggle.
Meanwhile, the Rams have generated the lowest pressure rate in the league. Jimmy Garoppolo should have a fairly clean pocket to throw from. He typically fares better against zone coverage, the Los Angeles plays zone at the fourth-highest rate in the league. Also, the Rams are banged up in the secondary, without CBs Troy Hill and David Long.
San Francisco was a bit rusty last week, which makes sense given the lack of reps Garoppolo had in the offseason, training camp and regular season, and that was the first game without Trey Lance.
I'm backing the 49ers to get back on track tonight.