Redskins vs. Eagles Betting Odds & Predictions: Will Philly Cover as Big Favorite?

Redskins vs. Eagles Betting Odds & Predictions: Will Philly Cover as Big Favorite? article feature image
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Photo credit: Bill Streicher-USA TODAY Sports. Pictured: Carson Wentz

Redskins at Eagles Betting Odds

  • Odds: Eagles -10
  • Total: 45.5
  • Time: 1 p.m. ET
  • TV Channel: FOX

All odds above are as of Thursday evening and via PointsBet.

The Philadelphia Eagles are flying very high as the biggest favorite of Week 1 and a trendy Super Bowl pick around the market. On the flip side, the Washington Redskins will be starting a quarterback on his third different squad in as many seasons and will be down their best offensive lineman due to an extended holdout.

As of Thursday evening, more two-thirds of betting tickets were backing the Eagles, but can they cover in this spot, or is there value on the road team? Our experts analyze this matchup and reveal their picks.

Redskins-Eagles Injury Report

The Eagles appear to be the healthier team in this matchup. Dallas Goedert (calf) practiced in full on Wednesday, so he should be ready to go.

Meanwhile, Jordan Reed (concussion) remains limited and could be out on Sunday if he can’t clear the concussion protocol. Vernon Davis would be the next man up in this spot, but he’s a low-floor option in this offense. Davis averaged just 4.8 targets per game in 15 games without Reed since 2016.

It’s also not ideal that the Redskins will be without left tackle Trent Williams (holdout), but Donald Penn will start in his place. Justin Bailey

Note: Info as of Thursday. See our Injury Report for daily practice participation and game statuses up until kickoff.

Sean Koerner’s Projected Odds

  • Projected Spread: Eagles -9
  • Projected Total: 46

The Eagles opened at -7.5 and have been bet up. You have to wonder if part of that was due to some uncertainty around Carson Wentz’s Week 1 availability. They’ve benefited from having one of the best backup quarterbacks in the league with Nick Foles, who frequently had to step in for Wentz. With Foles out of the picture, the Eagles would drop four to five points in my power ratings if Wentz were to ever miss a game.

I have this game as Eagles -9, so this is a pass for me. Once we get a key number like -10.5, I might be interested in backing the Redskins here.

I have the total set at 46, which is right in line with the current market. The under looks like it’s been getting hammered with 76% of the tickets, and yet, the line hasn’t budged. I wouldn’t look into that too much since Week 1 can be a bit tricky when it comes to reading the market. This is a pass for me. Sean Koerner

Biggest Mismatch

TBD

This could be Eagles defense vs. Redskins offense, but the Redskins will really struggle in the trenches.

As noted above, the 36-year-old Penn — who played just four games last season — will start at left tackle in place of Williams. At left guard, first-round bust Ereck Flowers is trying to transition from tackle in his first year with the franchise. Please join me in wishing him good fortune in the wars to come.

Brandon Scherff and Morgan Moses have been steady veterans for years at right guard and tackle, but third-year center Chase Roullier is no better than league average, and he hasn’t seen much action in the preseason because he’s been recovering from a shoulder surgery.

Against this line, the Eagles’ trench defenders should dominate. Last season the Eagles were No. 2 with an 85.2 pass-rush grade and No. 10 with an 88.3 run-defense grade (per Pro Football Focus).

Fletcher-Cox
Credit: Eric Hartline-USA TODAY Sports. Pictured: Fletcher Cox

Fletcher Cox and Malik Jackson at tackle and Brandon Graham and Derek Barnett on the edge might form the best starting defensive line in the league. And the Eagles might have the best trio of rotational players on the defensive front with tackle Timmy Jernigan and defensive ends Vinny Curry and Josh Sweat.

With a matchup this uneven, whether the Redskins are pass protecting or run blocking, the Eagles defensive line should cause lots of chaos. Matthew Freedman

Expert Picks

John Ewing: Redskins +10

The Eagles are tied with the Seahawks as the largest favorites in Week 1. More than 60% of spread tickets are on Philly. Wentz and Co. have the fifth-best odds to win the Super Bowl (+1400) while the Redskins are tied for the third lowest win total (6) this season.

On paper, this is a clear mismatch, but there are plenty of reasons to believe Washington can keep this game closer than the spread indicates. For starters, the largest favorite in Week 1 has gone 12-23 (34%) against the spread since 1993.

Since 2003, underdogs in Week 1 division games, like the ‘Skins, have gone 50-36-2 ATS and in openers teams that become bigger favorites, like the Eagles, have gone 48-64-1 ATS.

Not a fan of historical trends? Our Bet Labs’ simulations have the Eagles winning by 6.7 points per game — nearly three points less than the spread. Philly is the popular side, but look for the Redskins to cover.

PJ Walsh: Under 46

Washington’s seven-time Pro Bowl left tackle is showing no signs of returning to an offense that will have Case Keenum throwing to starting wide receivers Paul Richardson, Trey Quinn and Terry McLaurin. Needless to say, this team is going to have trouble scoring.

And even if the Redskins can move the ball, they’ll likely do so at an incredibly slow pace. According to Football Outsiders’ situation-neutral pace, Washington ranked dead last in the NFL last year in offensive pace.

Philadelphia is loaded in terms of offensive talent, but just like Washington, plays at a shockingly slow place. The Eagles finished last season just 30th in situation-neutral pace, indicating they’ll be in no rush offensively either.

This number has started to tick lower, but shopping can still get you 46 (-110), especially for those betting in New Jersey.

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