Seattle Seahawks Betting Primer: Super Bowl Odds, Win Total Pick, More
Steven Ryan/Getty Images. Pictured: Russell Wilson.
Seattle Seahawks Odds
If you’re new to betting, the Seahawks’ +2200 Super Bowl odds mean a $100 bet would net $2,200 if they won. [Convert odds using our betting odds calculator.]
Seahawks Win Total
Sean Koerner, the Director of Predictive Analytics at Action, breaks down how he’s betting the Cardinals’ win total.
I have long considered Russell Wilson to be one of the best QBs in the NFL — that’s why I’m continually ranting about the limitations Pete Carroll places on Wilson every year when Carroll caps the QB at ~500 pass attempts.
To best illustrate how the Seahawks went 11-5 despite this flawed approach, look no further than their 36.4% time-led rate: Teams that lead 36.4% of the time should be expected to win 7.1 games on average. The reason the Seahawks overachieved by nearly five wins is they lean on Russell Wilson to lead them to fourth-quarter comebacks. Last year he led the league with five.
That reliance on Wilson’s late-game heroics is also the main reason they finished 9-2 in one-score games. Usually in cases like this one, I would attribute that record to pure luck. However, in this particular case, the Seahawks got incredibly lucky because they have Wilson as their QB.
Wilson has said the offense should be more aggressive this season and “treat every quarter as the fourth quarter.” It remains to be seen whether that will end up being the case, but I do like investing in that potential here with the over.
It helps that they also traded for Jamal Adams, who should be a game-changer for a defense that ranked in the middle of the pack last year (18th in DVOA).
PICK: Over 9.5 (+110; bet to -105)