Best Steelers-Bucs MNF Player Props: Chris Godwin Over/Under 36.5 Receiving Yards?
Kim Klement-USA TODAY Sports. Pictured: Chris Godwin and Ryan Fitzpatrick
- Using our FantasyLabs projections tool, we've pinpointed two player props offering betting value in the Steelers-Buccaneers Monday Night Football matchup, which begins at 8:15 p.m. ET.
- The Bucs and quarterback Ryan Fitzpatrick have been willing to air the ball out, which leads us to two different style props.
There are two NFL player prop bets offering value in the Pittsburgh Steelers-Tampa Bay Buccaneers matchup on Monday Night Football, which kicks off at 8:15 p.m. ET on ESPN.
The Action Network’s public betting data will often be used in this data-driven analysis of props, along with the FantasyLabs prop tool. You can find value on other props by signing up for FantasyLabs here.
We take each prop bet listed across five of the most popular sportsbooks and leverage them against our player projections from Sean Koerner, the No. 1 in-season fantasy football ranker in each of the past three seasons.
Our Props tool has been killing it to start the season, with props graded a 10 out of 10 covering at a 60.9% clip (39-25) against the closing number.
Below, we highlight two of the props popping the most based on our projections.
>> Check out the FantasyLabs prop tool to see the nine MNF props rated a 10 out of 10 value, according to our industry-leading projections. All odds referenced here are as of 1 p.m. ET on Monday.
Buccaneers WR Chris Godwin
The pick: Over 36.5 receiving yards (-140 at 5Dimes)
With 10 targets through the first two weeks, Godwin has an average stat line of 4-48.5-1 with a 22% target share of air yards in the Bucs offense. He played only 50% of the snaps last week, but Godwin has been extremely efficient on a limited number of routes (17 in Week 2).
Tampa Bay will need to score points, and Mike Evans should see a ton of Joe Haden, which should lead to even more opportunities for Godwin.
Buccaneers WR Adam Humphries
The pick: Under 2.5 receptions (-103 at BetOnline)
With the Bucs offense going absolutely nuts to start the year, Humphries has been somewhat of an afterthought (35 receiving yards on seven targets). His low 7.27 career yards per target haven’t meshed well with Ryan Fitzpatrick’s willingness to be aggressive downfield.
FitzMagic leads the league in air yards per attempt (9.0) and deep ball completion percentage (77.8%). This line seems high for what has been making Tampa Bay successful to start the year, and Humphries’ two-reception-per-game average is likely to remain relatively similar as long as Fitzpatrick is behind center.