Sharp Money Moving Titans-Texans Monday Night Football Betting Line
Christopher Hanewinckel-USA TODAY. Pictured: Tennessee Titans quarterback Marcus Mariota
- Professional bettors are getting down on tonight's Monday Night Football Game (8:15 p.m. ET on ESPN) between the Tennessee Titans and Houston Texans.
- The Texans are currently 4-point favorites. The game's over/under is 42.5.
- Using the tools available at The Action Network, we analyze which side the sharps are targeting.
Sharps had a nice little Sunday afternoon. They stopped by Bed Bath & Beyond, took a quick trip to Home Depot and cashed three of their four plays along the way.
For pro bettors, the blueprint never changes. They can sweep the board or get taken to the woodshed the previous day. No chasing, no doubling down. Stay the course, always.
Remember, wiseguys bet numbers — not teams. If the value is there, they fire. If not, they lay off.
Tonight, sharps have taken a clear side in Tennessee Titans vs. Houston Texans on Monday Night Football (8:15 p.m. ET on ESPN).
>> All odds as of 2 p.m. ET on Monday. Download The Action Network App to get real-time NFL odds and track your bets.
Betting Terms to Know
Steam Move: Sudden, drastic and uniform line movement across the market caused by an overload of sharp action from respected players.
Reverse Line Movement: When the betting line moves in the opposite direction of the betting percentages. It’s a top smart money indicator.
Line Freeze: When one side is getting heavy betting, but the line won’t budge, indicating sharp liability on the other side.
Juice: The tax or commission that bettors must pay sportsbooks in order for them to accept your wager. A -115 juice means a bettor would have to wager $115 to win $100.
Tennessee Titans at Houston Texans
Sharp Angle: Titans (+6.5 to +4)
On paper, it looks like a layup with the red-hot Texans (7-3) laying a short spread at home. After all, Houston has won seven games in a row while Tennessee (5-5) is coming off a 38-10 blowout loss to the Colts.
But sharps aren’t taking the bait. They know not to overreact to win-loss records or recency bias.
Houston opened as a 6.5-point favorite. Recreational bettors have been hammering the Texans all week long. However, despite receiving 70% of bets, Houston has fallen from -6.5 to -4.
This is a classic example of reverse line movement. Even though the Texans are receiving overwhelming public support, the line has moved away from them.
Why would the oddsmakers make it easier for Average Joes to cash if they’re already pounding Houston in the first place?
Because sportsbooks have taken heavy professional money on Tennessee, forcing them to adjust the line.
Using our Sports Insights Bet Signals, we’ve noticed three steam and reverse line moves on Tennessee. Sharps got down hard on TEN at +6, +5.5 and +5.
This overload of smart money moved the Titans down to +4. In fact, the line briefly touched +3.5, further evidence of Tennessee liability.
The most interesting part of this movement is that it came well after Marcus Mariota was upgraded to probable — which means it’s not injury related.
An added bonus for Titans backers: Craig Wrolstad is the lead ref. Since 2003, home teams have gone 29-40 (42%) against the spread (ATS) with Wrolstad as the head official.
The Titans are also in a profitable historical spot. They’re divisional dogs on the road with a low total. Since 2003, divisional road dogs getting 35% or less of bets in games with a total of 44 or below have gone 99-67 ATS (59.6%).
Tennessee also fits the profitable Bet Labs PRO system Road Streaks with Line Moves (91-50 ATS, 64.5%) since 2003.