The Carolina Hurricanes and Philadelphia Flyers meet in Game 4 of the NHL Playoffs tonight. Puck drop is set for 6:00 p.m. EDT at Xfinity Mobile Arena in Philadelphia, Pa. The game will be broadcast live on TNT.
The Hurricanes are favored by -1.5 on the puck line, with the over/under set at 5.5 (+119o / -141u). The Hurricanes are a -196 favorite to win outright, while the Flyers are +162 to pull off the upset.
Let's get into my Hurricanes vs. Flyers predictions and NHL picks.
Hurricanes vs. Flyers Odds, Pick
| Hurricanes Odds | ||
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Total | Moneyline |
-1.5 +137 | 5.5 +119o / -141u | -196 |
| Flyers Odds | ||
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Total | Moneyline |
+1.5 -164 | 5.5 +119o / -141u | +162 |
- Hurricanes vs. Flyers Spread: Hurricanes -1.5 (+137), Flyers +1.5 (-164)
- Hurricanes vs. Flyers Over/Under: 5.5 (+119o / -141u)
- Hurricanes vs. Flyers Moneyline: Hurricanes -196, Flyers +162
Hurricanes vs Flyers Polymarket Odds
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Hurricanes vs. Flyers Preview
Carolina Hurricanes
Is there any team better than the Hurricanes right now?
It’s truly hard to find one.
On-ice play has never been Carolina’s problem. The Canes were always the cream of the crop when it came to 5-on-5 play, and were studs on special teams throughout the season. Their power play hasn’t been hot, but they’ve limited both the Flyers and the Senators on the penalty kill this postseason, with a 94.6% success rate.
The one aspect that I was always concerned about was their goaltending. But in seven games, Freddie Andersen has played like he was five years younger.
This season, Andersen had a weird year, dealing with injuries, but thus far, he’s playing to an eye-popping .957 SV% and a league-best 10.9 GSAx.
Taylor Hall, Jackson Blake, and Logan Stankoven have been the biggest driving forces for Carolina, combining for 11 goals, 13 assists and 24 points. Stankoven is currently tied for the league lead in playoff goals with six.
Philadelphia Flyers
The Flyers are cooked, I’m afraid.
After Game 2, I felt pretty confident that they would come in with some juice, especially in front of the home fans, but it was clear they were severely outmatched.
Just look at the body language on Trevor Zegras before the third period of Game 3, when the Flyers were down 2-1.
Trevor Zegras before the 3rd period, look at the body language from the Philadelphia Flyers star pic.twitter.com/PdpuHJeEak
— The cfb lliason (@realfbllliason) May 8, 2026
It’s a shame, because it’s been such a fantastic season for Philly, but you can only go so far with minimal production from your top guys before the depth starts to wear off.
The Flyers’ 5-on-5 expected goals are 15th out of 16 teams, which means they’re playing worse hockey than most of the teams that have already been eliminated in the playoffs. The only team that is worse than them is the Los Angeles Kings, who were swept in the first round.
Goaltender Dan Vladar has done all he can do. He essentially willed his team to beat the Penguins in the first round, but Carolina has been too much for him. He’s still the second-best performing goaltender in the playoffs, but the Flyers have let him out to dry with a third-worst 17.21 xGA.
Hurricanes vs. Flyers Prediction
Expectedly, the Hurricanes are major favorites in this matchup. So I’m going to completely bypass picking between these two teams.
Though there are two players on the Hurricanes that I think have a decent shot at lighting the lamp tonight.
For the most part, Andrei Svechnikov has been pretty quiet in these playoffs, which is surprising since 1) he has posted career-high numbers this season and 2) he typically thrives in the playoffs.
Behind Stankoven, Svechnikov is posting a 2.9 expected-goals share, which ranks second on the team. And while he hasn’t been up there in high danger chances, his ripper of a shot makes up for it in any way. I’m also banking on the power play woes to stop, which plays into Svechnikov's scoring. The Flyers are fourth-worst on the penalty kill with a -4.54 xGA.
The other player is Eric Robinson. The same Eric Robinson who hasn’t scored a goal in all playoffs.
But my goodness, the opportunities are there. He has only averaged 9:43 of ice time in the playoffs, but he’s actually third on the team in 5-on-5 expected goals. Not only that, he’s actually first on the team in high danger opportunities, which is insane to me.
DraftKings has him at +900 to score a goal, and I feel like I’d be doing a disservice to pass up on that opportunity. I’m putting a quarter of a unit on E-Rob.
Pick: Andrei Svechnikov Anytime Goal (+220, DraftKings) | Eric Robinson Anytime Goal (+900, 0.25 units)
