NHL Odds, Preview, Prediction: Devils vs Kings (Sunday, March 3)
VANCOUVER, CANADA – FEBRUARY 29: Trevor Moore #12 of the Los Angeles Kings points to Cam Talbot #39 while celebrating his goal with teammates during the third period of their NHL game against the Vancouver Canucks at Rogers Arena on February 29, 2024 in Vancouver, British Columbia, Canada. (Photo by Jeff Vinnick/NHLI via Getty Images)
Devils vs. Kings Odds
| Devils Odds | +110 |
| Kings Odds | -130 |
| Over / Under | 6.5 -105 / -115 |
Here's everything you need to know about the New Jersey Devils vs. Los Angeles Kings on Sunday, March 3 – our expert NHL prediction and pick.
In Sunday’s NHL matchup, the New Jersey Devils (30-26-4) square off against the Los Angeles Kings (30-19-10) in a game that has intriguing dynamics and playoff implications for both teams.
Both teams come into this matchup with impressive season-long performances, albeit in different aspects, but diving into the advanced metrics and analyzing their season trends provides a clear picture of what to expect and where the smart betting opportunities lie.
Here's my Devils vs. Kings prediction and pick.
The Devils have demonstrated a formidable offensive attack throughout the season, ranking eighth in Corsi, second in expected goals (xG), and 10th in high-danger chances. These numbers underscore their ability to maintain puck possession and create scoring opportunities.
Not all advanced metrics lead to actual goals and a winning record, but New Jersey is a team where these metrics matter as they rank seventh in goals scored this season.
The Devils’ defense tells a somewhat different story. While they've managed a commendable fifth in Corsi Against, indicating their capability to limit opponents' shot attempts, their 15th ranking in xG Against and 16th in high-danger chances against suggest vulnerabilities when it comes to preventing quality scoring opportunities.
Additionally, goaltender Nico Daws' performance metrics, including a 69th ranking in save percentage and 72nd in goals against average (GAA), raise concerns about the Devils' last line of defense.
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The Kings, on the other hand, have shown balance and depth in both their offensive and defensive play. Offensively, they rank fourth in Corsi, fifth in xG, and fourth in high-danger chances, reflecting their efficiency in generating and capitalizing on scoring opportunities.
Defensively, their metrics are equally impressive, with a fourth place in Corsi Against, fifth in xG Against, and an exceptional second in high-danger chances against, illustrating their proficiency in stifling opponents' attacks.
Starting goalie Cam Talbot's stats, including a 24th ranking in save percentage and 16th in GAA, while not top-tier, are significantly stronger than Daws', providing the Kings with a more reliable presence between the pipes.
Devils vs. Kings
Betting Pick & Prediction
Given the statistical analysis and considering the performance trends of both teams, taking the Kings on the moneyline emerges as the prudent bet for today's game.
The Kings' balanced attack and solid defense, coupled with superior goaltending, position them favorably against the Devils. While New Jersey boasts a potent offense, their defensive inconsistencies and goaltending vulnerabilities are likely to be exploited by a Kings team that excels in creating high-quality scoring chances.
The Kings' proficiency in limiting high-danger chances against will be crucial in neutralizing the Devils' offensive threats, tipping the scales in favor of Los Angeles.
Take Los Angeles moneyline today and expect a lower-scoring game where the Kings stout defense negates the Devils’ potent offensive attack.
Pick: Kings ML (-126)
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