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NHL Odds, Pick, Prediction: Maple Leafs vs. Bruins (March 29)

NHL Odds, Pick, Prediction: Maple Leafs vs. Bruins (March 29) article feature image
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Richard A. Whittaker/Icon Sportswire via Getty Images. Pictured: Jeremy Swayman.

  • The Bruins host the Islanders as short home favorites on Tuesday night.
  • The Bruins have been hot, but are they overvalued in this spot?
  • Jonny Lazarus breaks down the matchup and shares his best bet below.

Maple Leafs vs. Bruins Odds

Maple Leafs Odds +110
Bruins Odds -135
Over/Under 6
Time 7 p.m. ET
TV ESPN+
Odds via BetMGM. Get up-to-the-minute NHL Odds here.

These two teams are tied in the standings with the same exact record of 41-19-5, and Tuesday’s matchup is expected to be very competitive.

The Boston Bruins come into this rivalry game red hot as they are 8-1-1 in their last 10 games. The Toronto Maple Leafs won the first meeting between the two on home ice and are looking to find similar success on the road in Boston on Tuesday night.

Toronto Maple Leafs’ Third Game in Four Nights 

The Toronto Maple Leafs are coming off of a huge home ice win against the Florida Panthers, and they now travel to Boston for their third game in four nights.

The Leafs have had goaltending problems throughout the second half of the season, but Petr Mrazek might be getting into a groove in the blue paint. In his last two starts, he is 2-0-0 while stopping 54 of 58 shots. With Jack Campbell out due to injury, the Leafs have looked to Mrazek to step up his game, but it is not guaranteed that he will be the starter in this one.

Erik Kallgren has also made some appearances in net and hasn’t been bad at all. Kallgren is 2-2-1 in his first year in the NHL, skating to a .917 Save Percentage and a +2.1 GSAx.

The Leafs’ offensive skill continues to lead the way for this team. Auston Matthews is only two goals away from his first career 50-goal season. He has been absolutely incredible, scoring 48 goals with 35 assists for 83 points in 60 games. He is the key cog in the machine that is the Leafs and a huge reason why the Leafs are the third-best offensive team, averaging 3.65 goals per game.

Toronto’s power play is what sets them apart from the rest of the league. They are the number one unit, converting at a 29.2% rate as they hope to get some chances on the man advantage in this battle.


Boston Bruins Hoping to Stay Hot

The Boston Bruins have been on absolute fire. They have won their last four straight games and have scored 16 goals in that span, while both of their goaltenders continue to be outstanding.

Jeremy Swayman has already been announced as the starter for the Bruins and is becoming a household name for NHL fans. Swayman is in his first full professional season and is starting to show why he is the future of the Bruins. He has skated to a 19-8-3 record with a .925 Save Percentage and a +12.8 GSAx.

The Bruins are going to have a tough test defensively against a talented Leafs offense. The Bruins allowed five goals against in the last meeting between these two teams back in November, and two of those goals came while the B’s were shorthanded.

A key to this game for Boston will be staying disciplined and not getting into penalty trouble. As good as Toronto’s power play is, the B’s are pretty strong when they are a man down, killing off 81.6% of their penalties. The B’s only allow 2.65 goals per game, so as good as Toronto’s forwards might be, they will be challenged.

Maple Leafs vs. Bruins Pick

The B’s have been on a tear and are really starting to turn up the dial as we wind down the regular season. They have been playing their brand of hockey, and their top guys are scoring goals. There’s not much more you can ask from the B’s right now.

The Leafs have not found much success on the road lately, especially as an underdog, as they are 0-4 in their last four games as road dogs. Their goaltending has not been consistent enough for me to trust them.

I love the way the Bruins have been playing, and Swayman is legit. I think the B’s win this one on home ice and jump the Leafs in the standings.

Pick: Boston Bruins ML -135

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