Stars vs Jets Prediction: NHL Odds, Preview for Tuesday, November 28
Pictured: Connor Hellebuyck. (Photo by Eliot J. Schechter/NHLI via Getty Images)
Stars vs. Jets Odds
The Dallas Stars head to Manitoba to take on the Winnipeg Jets. After a strong start to the season, the Stars have lost three of their past four games. This stretch will be crucial for them as they’re on the road for five of their next six games.
Winnipeg is on the heels of a loss against the Predators. However, November has been very kind to the Jets, who are 8-3 this month. Even with this hot month, the Jets are in a tie with the Stars for second place in the Central Division.
Here’s a look at the odds, as well as my betting prediction for Stars vs. Jets.
Don’t confuse this rough stretch for a lack of talent. Dallas has one of the more dynamic attacks in the NHL. Jason Robertson and Roope Hintz are among the hottest duos, and veteran Joe Pavelski leads the team in scoring. Wyatt Johnson is also having a great start to his sophomore season as the team's fourth-leading scorer.
The Stars’ 5-on-5 play has taken a hit in this stretch, but they’re still among the top. They rank seventh in expected goals with a 53.89 xGF%. Defensively, they’re tied for eighth with a 2.44 xGA/60.
Dallas has an exceptional special teams crew, centered around its penalty kill. The power play is solid, scoring at a 21% clip, but the penalty kill is third-best with an 88% success rate.
Jake Oettinger started the season red hot, but has lost three in a row. The American netminder had a rough outing against Calgary, letting in six goals on Friday. He’s playing to decent, but the numbers — a .911 SV% and a +1.4 goals saved above expected (GSAx) — are disappointing by his standards.
The dominance from Winnipeg is all from its big three. Kyle Connor is among the league’s elite goal scorers, and he’s mostly set up by Mark Scheifele and Josh Morrissey. Young stud Cole Perfetti is also solidifying himself as an exciting player and nearly led the charge for a Jets comeback on Sunday.
Winnipeg has been pretty strong at 5-on-5 play. It’s currently 13th with a strong 51.83 xGF%. Defensively, it’s even better, playing to a 2.44 xGA/60.
With the man advantage, the Jets certainly can do better. They only score on the power play 18% of the time. The penalty kill is also pretty poor, converting only at a 73% clip.
On Sunday, Laurent Brossoit had a rough outing against Nashville. Luckily, the Jets have Connor Hellebuyck coming back after getting some rest. Hellebuyck started the season slow, but has had a resurgence, posting a .945 SV% in his past four starts.
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This is as even of a matchup you’re going to get. Both teams are evenly matched on both ends of the ice and have high-end goaltending. The books seem to agree as both teams are listed at an even -110.
We always see fireworks when these teams square off. In seven of the past nine meetings, the games were decided by one goal, which is probably why Dallas +1.5 is listed at -275.
I’m going to take a chance and say that this game is going to go under the total. Hellebuyck is playing lights out and Oettinger is due to bounce back. He played like the best goalie in the league for a month, and I can see him returning to that form. Additionally, both defenses are solid. Each team has heavy artillery on the offensive end, but the defenses will set the tone. Look for this to be a low-scoring contest.