2018-19 Premier League Season Betting Recap: Palace, Leicester Most Profitable Teams

2018-19 Premier League Season Betting Recap: Palace, Leicester Most Profitable Teams article feature image

Getty Images. Pictured: Manchester City manager Pep Guardiola and team

  • Manchester City won the 2018-19 Premier League title after an epic season-long race with Liverpool, edging the Reds by a single point.
  • Man City won their final 14 matches of the year to overtake Liverpool, whose only loss of the entire EPL season was against Man City.
  • We've recapped the entire season from a betting perspective including point totals, biggest upsets, most profitable clubs and more.

Premier League Title

Manchester City won their second straight Premier League title after a historic season-long race with Liverpool.

On the final day, Man City went down 1-0 at Brighton and it looked like Liverpool would have a shot at their first ever Premier League title.

But Man City responded immediately and went on to win, 4-1, to finish first in the league with 98 points. Liverpool finished second with 97 points.

Man City were the -150 preseason favorites to hoist the trophy and reached as high as +260 (briefly) in late January. They went on to win their remaining 14 matches of the year.

There were many memorable moments during the season but Vincent Kompany’s stunner in Week 37 to beat Leicester City was perhaps the most important goal in 2018-19.

Relegated Clubs

Huddersfield, Fulham and Cardiff City have been relegated from the Premier League to the English Championship.

Prior to the season, Cardiff City were -130 favorites to be demoted while Huddersfield (+125) and Fulham (+300) were plus-money.

Moneyline Results

Most Profitable Clubs:

  • Crystal Palace (14 wins, +18.31 units)
  • Leicester City (15 wins, +13.08 u)
  • Wolves (16 wins, +10.22 u)
  • Newcastle (12 wins, +9.47 u)
  • West Ham (15 wins, +8.26 u)

Least Profitable Clubs:

  • Huddersfield Town (3 wins, -22.65 units)
  • Fulham (7 wins, -16.62 u)
  • Southampton (9 wins, -7.42 u)
  • Manchester United (19 wins, -4.98 u)
  • Chelsea (21 wins, -4.96 u)

Biggest Upsets:

  • Crystal Palace (+1871) at Manchester City on December 22, 2018 (3-2 victory)
  • Newcastle (+1444) vs. Manchester City on January 29, 2018 (2-1 victory)
  • Leicester City (+958) at Chelsea on December 22, 2018 (1-0 victory)
  • Cardiff City (+871) at Manchester United on May 12, 2019 (2-0 victory)
  • Leicester City (+860) vs. Manchester City on December 26, 2018 (2-1 victory)

Season Point Over/Unders

  • Teams that went OVER this season: Arsenal, Bournemouth, Cardiff City, Chelsea, Crystal Palace, Everton, Liverpool, Manchester City, Watford, West Ham, Wolves
  • Teams that went UNDER this season: Brighton, Burnley, Fulham, Huddersfield, Leicester City, Manchester United, Newcastle, Southampton and Tottenham

Wolves finished with 57 points which was the most for a promoted club since Ipswich Town (66) in 2000-01.

Liverpool went over by the most points (17.5) while Huddersfield Town were the most disappointing club, finishing under their point total by 19.5 points.

Top Goalscorer

Three players finished with 22 goals to lead the league: Liverpool’s Mo Salah, Liverpool’s Sadio Mane and Arsenal’s Pierre-Emrick Aubameyang.

You’ll want to check the rules and regulations at your sportsbook for the grading of this bet. Most sportsbooks will pay out all three winners by dividing their original odds by 3, but others may use a specific tiebreaker to determine a winner like assists or goals-per-match.

Prior to the season, Salah was the +400 favorite to lead the league in goals while Aubameyang was +700 and Sane +8000, although odds widely varied around the market.

Managers Fired

Slavisa Jokanovic was listed at +2000 odds to be first manager fired during the 2018-19 season and Fulham let him go on November 14th.

There were six other EPL managers fired during the 2018-19 season including a second by Fulham:

  • Southampton: Mark Hughes (December 3, 2018)
  • Manchester United: Jose Mourinho (December 18, 2018)
  • Huddersfield Town: David Wagner (January 14, 2019)
  • Leicester City: Claude Puel (February 24, 2019)
  • Fulham: Claudio Ranieri (February 28, 2019)
  • Brighton: Chris Hughton (May 13, 2019)

Ole Gunnar Solskjær took over Manchester United when they were in sixth position and that’s where the Red Devils ended up.

Arsenal finished in fifth place in Unai Emery’s first season with the club, but they could qualify for Champions League next season if they defeat Chelsea in the Europa League Final on May 29th.

Looking Ahead to 2019-20

Manchester City have opened as -150 favorites to repeat as champions in 2019-20, followed by Liverpool (+325), Tottenham (+1200), Manchester United (+1600), Chelsea (+1800) and Arsenal (+2000).

Behind the top-six, the clubs with the best chance at an EPL title are Wolves (100-1) and Leicester City (250-1).

Norwich City and Sheffield United have been promoted to the Premier League. Four other clubs are still participating in a playoff to determine the last spot: Aston Villa, Derby County, West Bromwich Albion and Leeds United.